Trainers to watch this winter on the all weather by David Renham
In this article I am going look at some trainers that are worth keeping a close eye on this winter on the all weather. The data is taken from 1st November 1999 to 30th September 2008.
T Barron – has a good all weather record, most particularly at Southwell. Here are some positive stats worth noting:
All courses
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
Favourites
|
76
|
223
|
34.1%
|
+£10.07
|
+4.5%
|
|
Carrying a penalty
|
7
|
24
|
29.2%
|
+£11.96
|
+49.8%
|
|
Price - 11/4 to 9/2
|
67
|
251
|
26.7%
|
+£61.16
|
+24.4%
|
|
2yo races
|
23
|
94
|
24.5%
|
+£25.43
|
+27.1%
|
|
All sellers
|
18
|
76
|
23.7%
|
+£22.82
|
+30.0%
|
|
7 days or less off track
|
37
|
161
|
23.0%
|
+£36.50
|
+22.7%
|
|
Distance 5f
|
24
|
108
|
22.2%
|
+£52.81
|
+48.9%
|
|
Distance 6f
|
60
|
292
|
20.5%
|
+£46.77
|
+16.0%
|
|
Month - November
|
21
|
103
|
20.4%
|
+£49.63
|
+48.2%
|
|
3yo handicaps
|
20
|
102
|
19.6%
|
+£17.76
|
+17.4%
|
|
Month - December
|
33
|
168
|
19.6%
|
+£32.12
|
+19.1%
|
|
Month - March
|
21
|
122
|
17.2%
|
+£21.73
|
+17.8%
|
|
Claiming jockeys
|
47
|
289
|
16.3%
|
+£22.18
|
+7.7%
|
|
LTO - 7th or worse
|
60
|
368
|
16.3%
|
+£112.25
|
+30.5%
|
|
Month - October
|
6
|
45
|
13.3%
|
+£36.50
|
+81.1%
|
|
Price - 8/1 to 10/1
|
19
|
153
|
12.4%
|
+£33.00
|
+21.6%
|
Southwell
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
All Races
|
128
|
628
|
20.4%
|
+£100.97
|
+16.1%
|
|
2yo races
|
18
|
57
|
31.6%
|
+£35.93
|
+63.0%
|
|
3yo handicaps
|
16
|
61
|
26.2%
|
+£39.66
|
+65.0%
|
|
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps
|
47
|
286
|
16.4%
|
+£53.35
|
+18.7%
|
|
Month - November
|
12
|
47
|
25.5%
|
+£34.63
|
+73.7%
|
|
Month - December
|
23
|
88
|
26.1%
|
+£54.37
|
+61.8%
|
|
Distance 5f – 7f
|
81
|
381
|
21.3%
|
+£116.39
|
+30.5%
|
|
2yo races
|
18
|
57
|
31.6%
|
+£35.93
|
+63.0%
|
|
Age 3yos
|
39
|
176
|
22.2%
|
+£73.37
|
+41.7%
|
Wolverhampton
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
Claiming races
|
17
|
48
|
35.4%
|
+£15.82
|
+33.0%
|
|
Top 3 in betting
|
48
|
174
|
27.6%
|
+£37.23
|
+21.4%
|
|
Same class as LTO
|
38
|
158
|
24.1%
|
+£70.58
|
+44.7%
|
|
November
|
9
|
48
|
18.8%
|
+£23.00
|
+47.9%
|
M Botti – a trainer who has excelled to date at Kempton and is generally still underestimated by many:
All courses
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
Month - January
|
6
|
25
|
24.0%
|
+£25.83
|
+103.3%
|
|
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps
|
9
|
64
|
14.1%
|
+£1.00
|
+1.6%
|
|
Fillies and mares
|
13
|
123
|
10.6%
|
+£23.50
|
+19.1%
|
|
Price - 11/1 to 16/1
|
7
|
67
|
10.4%
|
+£38.00
|
+56.7%
|
Kempton
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
Claiming races
|
4
|
10
|
40.0%
|
+£13.38
|
+133.8%
|
|
Fillies/mares in mixed sex races
|
7
|
27
|
25.9%
|
+£59.50
|
+220.4%
|
|
Distance 7f – 1 mile
|
13
|
59
|
22.0%
|
+£52.88
|
+89.6%
|
|
3yo handicaps
|
6
|
30
|
20.0%
|
+£53.50
|
+178.3%
|
|
All Races
|
18
|
94
|
19.1%
|
+£74.38
|
+79.1%
|
|
2yo races
|
3
|
22
|
13.6%
|
+£11.00
|
+50.0%
|
T Dascombe – has an overall strike rate of better than 1 in 5 so a definite trainer to note:
All courses
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
Favourites
|
12
|
27
|
44.4%
|
+£9.41
|
+34.9%
|
|
Price - 11/4 to 9/2
|
14
|
33
|
42.4%
|
+£27.50
|
+83.3%
|
|
Month - January
|
8
|
25
|
32.0%
|
+£12.50
|
+50.0%
|
|
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps
|
15
|
62
|
24.2%
|
+£16.75
|
+27.0%
|
Wolverhampton
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
Position LTO 1st
|
5
|
11
|
45.5%
|
+£11.58
|
105.3%
|
|
Top 4 of the betting
|
11
|
31
|
35.5%
|
+£4.08
|
+81.6%
|
|
Non handicaps
|
7
|
23
|
30.4%
|
+£14.83
|
+64.5%
|
|
All Races
|
11
|
45
|
24.4%
|
+£16.33
|
+36.3%
|
M Jarvis – a top class trainer on the turf but one to watch closely this winter on the sand, especially when we get into the beginning of 2009:
All courses
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
Favourites
|
52
|
106
|
49.1%
|
+£23.56
|
+22.2%
|
|
3yo/3yo+ maidens
|
39
|
124
|
31.5%
|
+£54.34
|
+43.8%
|
|
57 days+ off track
|
20
|
68
|
29.4%
|
+£47.92
|
+70.5%
|
|
Female only races
|
17
|
58
|
29.3%
|
+£55.76
|
+96.1%
|
|
Month - January
|
15
|
56
|
26.8%
|
+£22.56
|
+40.3%
|
|
Month - February
|
11
|
44
|
25.0%
|
+£13.26
|
+30.1%
|
|
Price - 5/1 to 7/1
|
20
|
93
|
21.5%
|
+£53.00
|
+57.0%
|
|
2yo races
|
26
|
122
|
21.3%
|
+£21.10
|
+17.3%
|
|
2yo Fillies
|
13
|
67
|
19.4%
|
+£31.05
|
+46.3%
|
|
2yo maidens
|
18
|
93
|
19.4%
|
+£25.01
|
+26.9%
|
Lingfield
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
3yo/3yo+ maidens
|
17
|
53
|
32.1%
|
+£50.13
|
+94.6%
|
|
Jockey - N Callan
|
13
|
41
|
31.7%
|
+£50.05
|
+122.1%
|
|
Maiden races
|
28
|
96
|
29.2%
|
+£82.18
|
+85.6%
|
|
Jockey - P Robinson
|
21
|
78
|
26.9%
|
+£28.64
|
+36.7%
|
|
2yo races
|
14
|
53
|
26.4%
|
+£23.14
|
+43.7%
|
|
Geldings
|
17
|
65
|
26.2%
|
+£77.30
|
+118.9%
|
|
Age - 3yo
|
24
|
97
|
24.7%
|
+£50.29
|
+51.8%
|
|
All Races
|
47
|
203
|
23.2%
|
+£94.93
|
+46.8%
|
|
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps
|
10
|
55
|
18.2%
|
+£30.00
|
+54.5%
|
Southwell
|
Variable
|
Wins
|
Runs
|
SR
|
Profit/loss
|
ROI
|
|
Colts
|
5
|
8
|
62.5%
|
+£15.33
|
+191.6%
|
|
Down in class
|
9
|
25
|
36.0%
|
+£14.71
|
+58.8%
|
|
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps
|
6
|
21
|
28.6%
|
+£19.50
|
+92.9%
|
|
All Races
|
17
|
66
|
25.8%
|
+£20.54
|
+31.1%
|
|
Handicap races
|
9
|
35
|
25.7%
|
+£20.25
|
+57.9%
|
