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Trainers to watch this winter on the all weather


Trainers to watch this winter on the all weather by David Renham

 

In this article I am going look at some trainers that are worth keeping a close eye on this winter on the all weather. The data is taken from 1st November 1999 to 30th September 2008.

 

T Barron – has a good all weather record, most particularly at Southwell. Here are some positive stats worth noting:

 

All courses

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

Favourites

76

223

34.1%

+£10.07

+4.5%

Carrying a penalty

7

24

29.2%

+£11.96

+49.8%

Price - 11/4 to 9/2

67

251

26.7%

+£61.16

+24.4%

2yo races

23

94

24.5%

+£25.43

+27.1%

All sellers

18

76

23.7%

+£22.82

+30.0%

7 days or less off track

37

161

23.0%

+£36.50

+22.7%

Distance 5f

24

108

22.2%

+£52.81

+48.9% 

Distance  6f

60

292

20.5%

+£46.77

+16.0%

Month - November

21

103

20.4%

+£49.63

+48.2%

3yo handicaps

20

102

19.6%

+£17.76

+17.4%

Month - December

33

168

19.6%

+£32.12

+19.1%

Month - March

21

122

17.2%

+£21.73

+17.8%

Claiming jockeys

47

289

16.3%

+£22.18

+7.7%

LTO - 7th or worse

60

368

16.3%

+£112.25

+30.5%

Month - October

6

45

13.3%

+£36.50

+81.1%

Price - 8/1 to 10/1

19

153

12.4%

+£33.00

+21.6%

 

Southwell

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

All Races

128

628

20.4%

+£100.97

+16.1%

2yo races

18

57

31.6%

+£35.93

+63.0%

3yo handicaps

16

61

26.2%

+£39.66

+65.0%

3yo+/4yo+ handicaps

47

286

16.4%

+£53.35

+18.7%

Month - November

12

47

25.5%

+£34.63

+73.7% 

Month - December

23

88

26.1%

+£54.37

+61.8% 

Distance 5f – 7f

81

381

21.3%

+£116.39

+30.5%

2yo races

18

57

31.6%

+£35.93

+63.0% 

 Age 3yos

39

176

22.2%

+£73.37

+41.7%

 

Wolverhampton

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

Claiming races

17

48

35.4%

+£15.82

+33.0%

Top 3 in betting

48

174

27.6%

+£37.23

+21.4% 

Same class as LTO

38

158

24.1%

+£70.58

+44.7%

November

9

48

18.8%

+£23.00

+47.9%

 

M Botti – a trainer who has excelled to date at Kempton and is generally still underestimated by many:

 

All courses

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

Month - January

6

25

24.0%

+£25.83

+103.3%

3yo+/4yo+ handicaps

9

64

14.1%

+£1.00

+1.6%

Fillies and mares

13

123

10.6%

+£23.50

+19.1%

Price - 11/1 to 16/1

7

67

10.4%

+£38.00

+56.7%

 

Kempton

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

Claiming races

4

10

40.0%

+£13.38

+133.8%

Fillies/mares in mixed sex races

7

27

25.9%

+£59.50

+220.4%

Distance 7f – 1 mile

13

59

22.0%

+£52.88

+89.6%

3yo handicaps

6

30

20.0%

+£53.50

+178.3%

All Races

18

94

19.1%

+£74.38

+79.1%

2yo races

3

22

13.6%

+£11.00

+50.0%

 

T Dascombe – has an overall strike rate of better than 1 in 5 so a definite trainer to note:

 

All courses

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

Favourites

12

27

44.4%

+£9.41

+34.9%

Price - 11/4 to 9/2

14

33

42.4%

+£27.50

+83.3%

Month - January

8

25

32.0%

+£12.50

+50.0%

3yo+/4yo+ handicaps

15

62

24.2%

+£16.75

+27.0%

 

Wolverhampton

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

Position LTO 1st

5

11

45.5%

+£11.58

105.3%

Top 4 of the betting

11

31

35.5%

+£4.08

+81.6% 

Non handicaps

7

23

30.4%

+£14.83

+64.5% 

All Races

11

45

24.4%

+£16.33

+36.3%

 

M Jarvis – a top class trainer on the turf but one to watch closely this winter on the sand, especially when we get into the beginning of 2009:

 

All courses

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

Favourites

52

106

49.1%

+£23.56

+22.2%

3yo/3yo+ maidens

39

124

31.5%

+£54.34

+43.8%

57 days+ off track

20

68

29.4%

+£47.92

+70.5%

Female only races

17

58

29.3%

+£55.76

+96.1%

Month - January

15

56

26.8%

+£22.56

+40.3%

Month - February

11

44

25.0%

+£13.26

+30.1%

Price - 5/1 to 7/1

20

93

21.5%

+£53.00

+57.0%

2yo races

26

122

21.3%

+£21.10

+17.3%

2yo Fillies

13

67

19.4%

+£31.05

+46.3%

2yo maidens

18

93

19.4%

+£25.01

+26.9%

 

Lingfield

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

3yo/3yo+ maidens

17

53

32.1%

+£50.13

+94.6%

Jockey - N Callan

13

41

31.7%

+£50.05

+122.1% 

Maiden races

28

96

29.2%

+£82.18

+85.6%

Jockey - P Robinson

21

78

26.9%

+£28.64

+36.7%

2yo races

14

53

26.4%

+£23.14

+43.7%

 Geldings

17

65

26.2%

+£77.30

+118.9%

Age - 3yo

24

97

24.7%

+£50.29

+51.8%

All Races

47

203

23.2%

+£94.93

+46.8%

3yo+/4yo+ handicaps

10

55

18.2%

+£30.00

+54.5%

 

Southwell

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR

Profit/loss

ROI

Colts

5

8

62.5%

+£15.33

+191.6%

Down in class

9

25

36.0%

+£14.71

+58.8% 

3yo+/4yo+ handicaps

6

21

28.6%

+£19.50

+92.9%

All Races

17

66

25.8%

+£20.54

+31.1%

Handicap races

9

35

25.7%

+£20.25

+57.9%

 

 

 

 








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