Trainers to watch this winter on the all weather by David Renham
In this article I am going look at some trainers that are worth keeping a close eye on this winter on the all weather. The data is taken from 1st November 1999 to 30th September 2008.
T Barron – has a good all weather record, most particularly at Southwell. Here are some positive stats worth noting:
All courses
Variable
Wins
Runs
SR
Profit/loss
ROI
Favourites
76
223
34.1%
+£10.07
+4.5%
Carrying a penalty
7
24
29.2%
+£11.96
+49.8%
Price - 11/4 to 9/2
67
251
26.7%
+£61.16
+24.4%
2yo races
23
94
24.5%
+£25.43
+27.1%
All sellers
18
76
23.7%
+£22.82
+30.0%
7 days or less off track
37
161
23.0%
+£36.50
+22.7%
Distance 5f
24
108
22.2%
+£52.81
+48.9%
Distance 6f
60
292
20.5%
+£46.77
+16.0%
Month - November
21
103
20.4%
+£49.63
+48.2%
3yo handicaps
20
102
19.6%
+£17.76
+17.4%
Month - December
33
168
19.6%
+£32.12
+19.1%
Month - March
21
122
17.2%
+£21.73
+17.8%
Claiming jockeys
47
289
16.3%
+£22.18
+7.7%
LTO - 7th or worse
60
368
16.3%
+£112.25
+30.5%
Month - October
6
45
13.3%
+£36.50
+81.1%
Price - 8/1 to 10/1
19
153
12.4%
+£33.00
+21.6%
Southwell
Variable
Wins
Runs
SR
Profit/loss
ROI
All Races
128
628
20.4%
+£100.97
+16.1%
2yo races
18
57
31.6%
+£35.93
+63.0%
3yo handicaps
16
61
26.2%
+£39.66
+65.0%
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps
47
286
16.4%
+£53.35
+18.7%
Month - November
12
47
25.5%
+£34.63
+73.7%
Month - December
23
88
26.1%
+£54.37
+61.8%
Distance 5f – 7f
81
381
21.3%
+£116.39
+30.5%
2yo races
18
57
31.6%
+£35.93
+63.0%
Age 3yos
39
176
22.2%
+£73.37
+41.7%
Wolverhampton
Variable
Wins
Runs
SR
Profit/loss
ROI
Claiming races
17
48
35.4%
+£15.82
+33.0%
Top 3 in betting
48
174
27.6%
+£37.23
+21.4%
Same class as LTO
38
158
24.1%
+£70.58
+44.7%
November
9
48
18.8%
+£23.00
+47.9%
M Botti – a trainer who has excelled to date at Kempton and is generally still underestimated by many:
All courses
Variable
Wins
Runs
SR
Profit/loss
ROI
Month - January
6
25
24.0%
+£25.83
+103.3%
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps
9
64
14.1%
+£1.00
+1.6%
Fillies and mares
13
123
10.6%
+£23.50
+19.1%
Price - 11/1 to 16/1
7
67
10.4%
+£38.00
+56.7%
Kempton
Variable
Wins
Runs
SR
Profit/loss
ROI
Claiming races
4
10
40.0%
+£13.38
+133.8%
Fillies/mares in mixed sex races
7
27
25.9%
+£59.50
+220.4%
Distance 7f – 1 mile
13
59
22.0%
+£52.88
+89.6%
3yo handicaps
6
30
20.0%
+£53.50
+178.3%
All Races
18
94
19.1%
+£74.38
+79.1%
2yo races
3
22
13.6%
+£11.00
+50.0%
T Dascombe – has an overall strike rate of better than 1 in 5 so a definite trainer to note:
All courses
Variable
Wins
Runs
SR
Profit/loss
ROI
Favourites
12
27
44.4%
+£9.41
+34.9%
Price - 11/4 to 9/2
14
33
42.4%
+£27.50
+83.3%
Month - January
8
25
32.0%
+£12.50
+50.0%
3yo+/4yo+ handicaps
15
62
24.2%
+£16.75
+27.0%
Wolverhampton
Variable
Wins
Runs
SR
Profit/loss
ROI
Position LTO 1st
5
11
45.5%
+£11.58
105.3%
Top 4 of the betting
11
31
35.5%
+£4.08
+81.6%
Non handicaps
7
23
30.4%
+£14.83
+64.5%
All Races
11
45
24.4%
+£16.33
+36.3%
M Jarvis – a top class trainer on the turf but one to watch closely this winter on the sand, especially when we get into the beginning of 2009:
