Dave Renham has carried out detailed research into all weather racing seeking profitable trends over many years past races.

In this article  he reveals five separate systematic methods for selection that have each yielded highly positive results.

NB only Full members can access the full and complete rules to these systems. Here however we detail to you the rough nature of the research and the profits of each individual system.

Method 1 - An approach based around penalty carries.

Qualifiers	Winners	Strike Rate	Profit	% Profit
766	175	22.9%	+£131.33	+17.1%

The system has seen 7 winning years out of 8, and had a good year in 2007 with 34 wins from 132 (strike rate 25.8%) for a profit of £27.13 (ROI +20.6%). Hence it seems that this system should continue to perform well in the near future.

As stated in previous articles, flat horses returning to the track after a short break has been a key factor in many successful flat systems.

Qualifiers	Winners	Strike Rate	Profit	% Profit
396	109	27.5%	+£81.55	+20.6%

The “fit and fancied system” has seen 8 winning seasons out of 8, so it has shown excellence consistency. Indeed, I did look back to 1997 for this system and ’97, ’98 and ’99 also were profitable years. This looks a system that is worth following for a few years yet.

Many systems use factors that are well known to betting public and bookmakers alike. For example, good recent form, a high position in the betting, winning form at the distance, etc, etc. However, although it is fairly straight-forward to produce a system that has a good strike rate, it is not so easy to find one that is consistently profitable. I have already mentioned that in general there is limited value in backing short priced horses, but this system is one that has made a profit.

Qualifiers	Winners	Strike Rate	Profit	% Profit
528	275	52.1%	+£31.06	+5.9%

An impressive strike rate in excess of 50%, and 6 of the 8 years showed a profit. Overall profits are only modest though, but that is to be expected with well fancied selections. This type of system may be worth using with a staking plan, rather than purely level stakes as the high strike rate indicates that losing runs will be fairly short.

To finish this piece I am going to look at two trainer systems that have shown excellent returns in recent years.

Qualifiers	Winners	Strike Rate	Profit	% Profit
197	47	23.9%	+£73.95	+37.5%

A strike rate of 1 in 4 is excellent for a trainer based system, especially with no price stipulation. For the record this system has made profits in both handicaps and non handicaps, but his record has been best in non handicaps. His runners do especially well at Lingfield so his runners merit extreme close scrutiny there.

System 5 – Trainer System 2

The results have been as follows:

Qualifiers	Winners	Strike Rate	Profit	% Profit
159	60	37.7%	+£67.96	+42.7%

The most impressive part of this system is that he has shown profits in all different race types – handicaps, claimers, sellers, maidens and conditions races.

Register as a full member, log in and return to this page to read the full article detailing the  rules for each of these profitable systems.

The rest of this article is only available to Full members