SWITCHING STABLES (NATIONAL HUNT)

In the spotlight section of the Racing Post, it is normally brought to your attention if a horse has switched stables and is having his/her first run for a new trainer. The question is – what is the effect does a change of stables have on this first run? I have gathered data for National Hunt racing from 2004 to 2010 and here are the overall figures:

As you can see, a change of stables can hardly be described as a ‘positive’. Losses of around 31 pence in the £ are testament to that. With this starting point, we will clearly be struggling to find many positive slants. However, finding negative stats has value, not just from a potential laying perspective, but also for elimination purposes when you are analysing a race. Time to do some more digging:

This articles continues with an  examination of how  the race type of this first run for a new trainer imapcts on profitability.

It also explores which trainers do very well when a horse is switched to them.

Some very profitable angles are discovered.