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Running Styles Revisited

Running Styles Revisited by David Renham
 
Those of you who have been a subscriber to punter profits for some time will know that running styles or pace bias is something I am very interested in. I believe a good understanding of this can give you an important edge over the majority of punters.
 
In this article  I am looking at 5 furlong maiden races on the turf – it should be noted that 90% of these were 2yo maiden races. The data has been taken from 2000 to the beginning of July 2009 and I have concentrated on races of 10 or more runners. During this period of study there were just over 650 qualifying races of which 34.5% of the races were won by the front runner. Let me put this another way – roughly a third of all qualifying races were won by the horse that led, or disputed the lead early in the race. Now considering that we are talking about races with an average field size of 12.25 this is an extremely powerful statistic.
 


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