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Pointers for jockeys
In two recent articles I have discussed horse racing owners and sires. This time it is the turn of the jockey. In general, jockeys are often backed by armchair punters in multiples / accumulators, while the more serious punter probably takes less notice of them. There is little to choose between the very top jocks – of course we all have our favourites, and those who we don’t like, but are there jockeys worth following under specific conditions? Hopefully this article will show you that there are. The data is taken from 1998 to June 4th 2007 and I have chosen 8 of the top jockeys to study:
Frankie Dettori – the Italian maestro is probably overbet in general, but there are numerous profitable angles as the table indicates:
I consider Dettori to be a good judge of pace and hence this may be why he has a good record on heavy ground. He has also been successful on many front runners so this is another angle to consider. The Gerald Butler stat is one to be slightly wary of however, as from 2004 to 2006 he rode just 3 winners from 26.
RichardHills – has ridden over 1800 winners worldwide including over 80 win in Group races. Five main areas to note:
For the record, he is also worth noting in very small fields as he is fairly shrewd tactically.
Neil Callan – has a consistent record and he seems to ride well on easy ground as the table below indicates:
Philip Robinson – is a jockey that would be near the top of my list of favourite jocks and he has several angles worth noting:
Some excellent stats when riding 2yo maidens, and it is interesting to see his strike rate when riding for Clive Cox is near to 20%, when Cox’s overall strike rate is just 9%.
Jamie Spencer – is happiest holding up his mounts and coming with a late run – hence there are times when he misjudges a race and some racing pundits get frustrated with him when he leaves it too late. He is not a jockey that I personally like because of his race riding tactics.
The Folkestone favourites stat becomes more impressive when you consider that Spencer finished placed on 7 of the remaining 8 favourites. Hence, he has had 16 win and placed favourites from 17 (SR 94.1%). However, one stat to be aware of is that he has ridden just 1 winner from 48 at Chester.
Paul Hanagan – is a capable jockey that goes about his business without too much fuss. He rides primarily for Richard Fahey.
Hanagan also has a decent record on heavy ground thanks to a strike rate of 17.5%.
Seb Sanders – has been in excellent form this year and looks likely to go close to winning the jockey’s title. He has some excellent stats as the table shows:
He also rides Brighton very well with 87 winners and a 20% strike rate, and he has made some good profits at York despite a moderate strike rate of 11%.
Kerrin McEvoy – is rapidly becoming one of the most sought after jockeys in this country. His record at present is excellent and there are plenty of profitable angles to note:
There are plenty of other positives for Mc Evoy, and of all the jockeys analysed, he looks right at the top of the list.
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