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| Articles >> horse-racing >> Pace in National Hunt Racing part 4 Pace in National Hunt Racing part 4
This is the fourth and final installment in a series of articles on pace in National Hunt racing. I
In this article I am looking at some in play data with a view to looking into horses that win having traded higher in running. The majority of my personal in play trading has been connected with looking for horses that are likely to trade lower in running, so this is a new avenue for me.
I wanted to split the winners into different race-types to see whether certain races saw a higher proportion of winners that traded higher in running. I also need to decide upon my parameters for ‘trading higher in running’ – from experience I know that a decent proportion of winners trade marginally above their BSP, but a horse that say traded 6.25 when their BSP is 6.2 is not what I am looking for. Hence, I have looked at what proportion of horses that have traded 1.5 times higher in running compared to their BSP, twice their BSP, 4 times their BSP and 10 times their BSP. I have used data from UK racing for the year 2011.
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