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October Trainers 2013


 

October Trainers 2013

 

Each month at punterprofits we look at how trainers have performed in that month over the past few seasons. This time it is the turn of October and the data is taken from 2008 to 2012. October sees the flat winding down so the focus this month is on National Hunt trainers. October sees the National Hunt step up a gear and for this piece I am looking at data in both the UK and Ireland. All profit/losses have been calculated to SP.

 

As with few last months I have tweaked this article slightly to incorporate much more raw data. Once again I have decided to put the trainers in alphabetical order in the hope it is easier to track them.

 

A look at All Races first - I have grouped UK and Irish trainers together (50 runs or more):

 

Trainer

Runners

Winners

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Bailey, K C

101

14

13.9

-£20.87

-20.7

Bailey, Mrs Caroline

52

3

5.8

-£33.75

-64.9

Barnes, M A

84

7

8.3

£89.00

106.0

Bealby, C C

72

8

11.1

£15.50

21.5

Berry, J A

60

5

8.3

£4.00

6.7

Bowen, P

193

14

7.3

-£78.12

-40.5

Brady, Patrick O

100

2

2.0

-£80.00

-80.0

Bridgwater, D G

53

12

22.6

-£2.04

-3.8

Bromhead, Henry De

123

15

12.2

-£34.06

-27.7

Buckler, R H

66

5

7.6

£16.50

25.0

Burke, W J

54

6

11.1

-£5.38

-10.0

Byrnes, C

86

8

9.3

-£38.08

-44.3

Carroll, A W

80

2

2.5

-£48.00

-60.0

Chapman, M C

58

5

8.6

-£5.25

-9.1

Curtis, Miss Rebecca

73

9

12.3

-£37.41

-51.2

Daly, H D

92

5

5.4

-£55.77

-60.6

Dickin, R

60

9

15.0

£14.75

24.6

Doyle, Eoin

87

8

9.2

-£18.00

-20.7

Easterby, T D

73

4

5.5

-£53.50

-73.3

Elliott, Gordon

169

27

16.0

£6.43

3.8

Ellison, B

62

8

12.9

£0.98

1.6

Fenton, Philip

55

5

9.1

-£31.36

-57.0

Flood, F

75

1

1.3

-£71.00

-94.7

Flynn, Paul W

62

4

6.5

-£12.75

-20.6

Frost, J D

65

4

6.2

-£35.50

-54.6

George, T R

96

14

14.6

-£26.97

-28.1

Gifford, N J

50

7

14.0

-£7.34

-14.7

Gilligan, Paul John

60

1

1.7

-£54.00

-90.0

Goldsworthy, W K

66

7

10.6

£7.50

11.4

Gordon, C

81

7

8.6

-£2.75

-3.4

Grant, C

89

5

5.6

-£61.99

-69.7

Hammond, Micky

57

4

7.0

-£29.50

-51.8

Hanlon, John Joseph

122

9

7.4

-£69.50

-57.0

Harrington, Mrs John

191

16

8.4

-£130.24

-68.2

Harris, M F

75

2

2.7

-£66.00

-88.0

Hawke, N J

51

1

2.0

-£41.00

-80.4

Henderson, N J

120

28

23.3

-£17.74

-14.8

Hill, Mrs Lawney

59

5

8.5

-£18.17

-30.8

Hobbs, P J

301

58

19.3

-£18.18

-6.0

Hourigan, Michael

130

9

6.9

-£68.62

-52.8

Hughes, D T

213

21

9.9

-£101.42

-47.6

Jefferson, J M

100

13

13.0

-£45.55

-45.6

Johnson, R

63

1

1.6

-£37.00

-58.7

Keighley, M

103

14

13.6

-£31.60

-30.7

Kiely, John E

60

10

16.7

-£24.32

-40.5

King, A

164

30

18.3

-£25.98

-15.8

King, N B

65

4

6.2

-£34.50

-53.1

Lambe, J J

94

11

11.7

-£45.62

-48.5

Lavelle, Miss E C

102

19

18.6

£36.71

36.0

Lee, R

63

5

7.9

-£36.62

-58.1

Leech, Mrs S

51

2

3.9

-£29.00

-56.9

Llewellyn, B J

57

4

7.0

-£32.99

-57.9

Longsdon, C E

191

34

17.8

-£59.05

-30.9

Mangan, James Joseph

59

4

6.8

-£37.17

-63.0

Mann, C J

72

8

11.1

-£5.75

-8.0

Martin, A J

115

9

7.8

-£69.15

-60.1

McCain Jnr, D

268

36

13.4

-£60.32

-22.5

McNamara, E

74

3

4.1

-£38.50

-52.0

Meade, Noel

237

55

23.2

-£20.18

-8.5

Moffatt, James

60

5

8.3

£2.00

3.3

Monteith, P

57

4

7.0

-£28.67

-50.3

Moore, A L T

58

1

1.7

-£53.50

-92.2

Moore, G L

121

12

9.9

-£53.84

-44.5

Moore, G M

57

4

7.0

-£14.25

-25.0

Morris, M F

115

15

13.0

-£45.15

-39.3

Mulholland, N P

112

11

9.8

-£30.25

-27.0

Mullins, J W

81

3

3.7

-£71.00

-87.7

Mullins, Thomas

64

14

21.9

-£10.12

-15.8

Mullins, W P

114

24

21.1

-£19.93

-17.5

Murphy, C A

94

10

10.6

-£47.00

-50.0

Murphy, Ferdy

161

5

3.1

-£138.00

-85.7

Murphy, John Joseph

53

1

1.9

-£43.00

-81.1

Nicholls, P F

272

77

28.3

£3.72

1.4

Nolan, Paul

122

18

14.8

-£26.83

-22.0

O'Brien, V T

60

1

1.7

-£56.50

-94.2

O'Dwyer, Conor

69

5

7.2

£5.50

8.0

O'Grady, E J

105

18

17.1

£24.04

22.9

O'Neill, Jonjo

380

47

12.4

-£116.06

-30.5

Pipe, D E

228

29

12.7

-£88.84

-39.0

Powell, B G

144

11

7.6

-£56.93

-39.5

Quinn, J J

55

11

20.0

£4.42

8.0

Richards, N G

100

11

11.0

-£32.05

-32.1

Roche, C

96

8

8.3

-£45.12

-47.0

Rothwell, P J

181

6

3.3

-£128.00

-70.7

Russell, Miss Lucinda V

177

21

11.9

-£50.13

-28.3

Sayer, Mrs Dianne

57

2

3.5

-£43.50

-76.3

Scott, J

60

13

21.7

£20.55

34.3

Scudamore, M J

83

9

10.8

-£9.25

-11.1

Sherwood, O

83

15

18.1

£19.34

23.3

Smith, Mrs S J

180

25

13.9

-£0.29

-0.2

Snowden, Jamie

55

7

12.7

-£7.34

-13.3

Swan, C F

118

9

7.6

-£77.23

-65.4

Taaffe, T J

81

7

8.6

-£38.67

-47.7

Thorpe, Mrs A M

63

7

11.1

-£33.33

-52.9

Tizzard, C L

137

22

16.1

£31.79

23.2

Todhunter, M

80

3

3.8

-£43.50

-54.4

Turnell, Andrew

65

10

15.4

-£1.25

-1.9

Twiston-Davies, N A

354

64

18.1

£75.60

21.4

Tyner, Robert

64

7

10.9

£8.00

12.5

Vaughan, Tim

253

40

15.8

-£65.95

-26.1

Walsh, John J

50

2

4.0

-£40.00

-80.0

Webber, P R

108

9

8.3

-£56.54

-52.4

Williams, Evan

279

38

13.6

-£73.03

-26.2

Williams, Ian

87

18

20.7

£29.71

34.1

Williams, Miss Venetia

100

7

7.0

-£47.62

-47.6

Williams, Nick

65

10

15.4

-£12.54

-19.3

 

Paul Nicholls has the best strike rate - 5% higher than any other trainer. Indeed he starts the season profitably albeit marginally. He has performed well in novice races with 40 wins from 104 runners for a profit of £43.10 (ROI +41.4%). Nigel Twiston-Davies has also done well in October although his profits are skewed by a 66/1 winner. One trainer to avoid looks to Venetia Williams - it looks like it takes her stable time to warm up.

 

 

 

Onto hurdle races next:

Trainer

Runners

Winners

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Bailey, K C

60

8

13.3

-£13.12

-21.9

Barnes, M A

63

7

11.1

£110.00

174.6

Bealby, C C

42

2

4.8

-£2.00

-4.8

Bowen, P

93

5

5.4

-£41.50

-44.6

Brady, Patrick O

60

1

1.7

-£51.00

-85.0

Bromhead, Henry De

54

7

13.0

£14.36

26.6

Byrnes, C

48

6

12.5

-£23.08

-48.1

Carroll, A W

58

2

3.4

-£26.00

-44.8

Curtis, Miss Rebecca

43

6

14.0

-£21.16

-49.2

Daly, H D

47

2

4.3

-£34.27

-72.9

Doyle, Eoin

60

3

5.0

-£38.50

-64.2

Easterby, T D

42

3

7.1

-£31.50

-75.0

Elliott, Gordon

107

14

13.1

-£16.82

-15.7

Ellison, B

50

4

8.0

-£4.52

-9.0

Flood, F

43

0

0.0

-£43.00

-100.0

Frost, J D

45

2

4.4

-£35.50

-78.9

Goldsworthy, W K

40

4

10.0

£18.50

46.3

Gordon, C

46

2

4.3

-£16.50

-35.9

Grant, C

53

2

3.8

-£42.12

-79.5

Hanlon, John Joseph

75

4

5.3

-£52.50

-70.0

Harrington, Mrs John

120

7

5.8

-£96.12

-80.1

Harris, M F

57

1

1.8

-£53.00

-93.0

Henderson, N J

71

15

21.1

-£21.99

-31.0

Hobbs, P J

170

36

21.2

£17.18

10.1

Hourigan, Michael

76

5

6.6

-£40.87

-53.8

Hughes, D T

122

9

7.4

-£61.04

-50.0

Jefferson, J M

42

3

7.1

-£27.50

-65.5

Keighley, M

57

7

12.3

-£12.25

-21.5

King, A

119

24

20.2

-£14.93

-12.5

King, N B

40

3

7.5

-£14.00

-35.0

Lambe, J J

62

9

14.5

-£26.37

-42.5

Lavelle, Miss E C

58

11

19.0

£22.33

38.5

Llewellyn, B J

52

4

7.7

-£27.99

-53.8

Longsdon, C E

103

13

12.6

-£52.06

-50.5

Martin, A J

59

4

6.8

-£42.75

-72.5

McCain Jnr, D

158

22

13.9

-£27.00

-17.1

McNamara, E

44

2

4.5

-£14.00

-31.8

Meade, Noel

114

31

27.2

-£15.45

-13.6

Moffatt, James

48

5

10.4

£14.00

29.2

Moore, G L

82

6

7.3

-£53.90

-65.7

Morris, M F

55

7

12.7

-£23.85

-43.4

Mulholland, N P

65

6

9.2

-£18.25

-28.1

Mullins, Thomas

43

8

18.6

-£10.29

-23.9

Mullins, W P

67

18

26.9

£2.81

4.2

Murphy, C A

44

6

13.6

-£16.50

-37.5

Murphy, Ferdy

74

1

1.4

-£70.25

-94.9

Nicholls, P F

141

40

28.4

£17.10

12.1

Nolan, Paul

76

12

15.8

-£15.36

-20.2

O'Dwyer, Conor

47

2

4.3

-£7.00

-14.9

O'Grady, E J

55

10

18.2

£0.64

1.2

O'Neill, Jonjo

202

29

14.4

-£45.07

-22.3

Pipe, D E

169

18

10.7

-£83.22

-49.2

Powell, B G

83

9

10.8

-£21.93

-26.4

Quinn, J J

42

10

23.8

£13.67

32.5

Richards, N G

59

6

10.2

-£21.12

-35.8

Roche, C

49

3

6.1

-£29.50

-60.2

Rothwell, P J

122

4

3.3

-£80.50

-66.0

Russell, Miss Lucinda V

69

6

8.7

-£36.52

-52.9

Sayer, Mrs Dianne

43

2

4.7

-£29.50

-68.6

Scudamore, M J

46

3

6.5

-£21.75

-47.3

Sherwood, O

50

8

16.0

£16.63

33.3

Smith, Mrs S J

76

10

13.2

-£17.62

-23.2

Swan, C F

61

3

4.9

-£53.78

-88.2

Taaffe, T J

51

2

3.9

-£36.50

-71.6

Thorpe, Mrs A M

50

7

14.0

-£20.33

-40.7

Tizzard, C L

50

7

14.0

£5.13

10.3

Twiston-Davies, N A

150

28

18.7

£86.48

57.7

Vaughan, Tim

167

28

16.8

-£31.21

-18.7

Webber, P R

56

6

10.7

-£26.84

-47.9

Williams, Evan

163

24

14.7

-£16.37

-10.0

Williams, Ian

61

11

18.0

£11.80

19.3

Williams, Miss Venetia

55

2

3.6

-£34.00

-61.8

 

Philip Hobbs has a decent hurdles record and has made a blind profit thanks to a decent strike rate. Take a note of any LTO winners as they have secured 10 wins from 28 for a profit of £30.44 (ROI +108.7%).

Onto chase races next:

Trainer

Runners

Winners

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Bailey, K C

37

6

16.2

-£3.75

-10.1

Bowen, P

86

8

9.3

-£33.62

-39.1

Brady, Patrick O

30

0

0

-£30.00

-100

Bromhead, Henry De

55

8

14.5

-£34.42

-62.6

Buckler, R H

38

4

10.5

£37.00

97.4

Byrnes, C

31

0

0

-£31.00

-100

Cornwall, J R

41

1

2.4

-£35.00

-85.4

Daly, H D

41

3

7.3

-£17.50

-42.7

Elliott, Gordon

51

10

19.6

£13.75

27

George, T R

53

9

17

-£9.64

-18.2

Gordon, C

30

5

16.7

£18.75

62.5

Hammond, Micky

31

3

9.7

-£12.00

-38.7

Harrington, Mrs John

41

6

14.6

-£17.50

-42.7

Henderson, N J

35

9

25.7

£1.50

4.3

Hobbs, P J

111

16

14.4

-£40.36

-36.4

Hourigan, Michael

34

3

8.8

-£14.75

-43.4

Hughes, D T

69

8

11.6

-£37.67

-54.6

Jefferson, J M

37

7

18.9

-£8.18

-22.1

Johnson, R

31

1

3.2

-£5.00

-16.1

Keighley, M

37

6

16.2

-£13.35

-36.1

King, A

39

5

12.8

-£10.05

-25.8

Lavelle, Miss E C

37

7

18.9

£18.50

50

Lee, R

39

4

10.3

-£17.12

-43.9

Longsdon, C E

67

17

25.4

-£4.49

-6.7

Mann, C J

34

4

11.8

-£7.25

-21.3

Martin, A J

55

5

9.1

-£25.40

-46.2

McCain Jnr, D

75

10

13.3

-£15.12

-20.2

McNamara, E

30

1

3.3

-£24.50

-81.7

Meade, Noel

86

16

18.6

£12.22

14.2

Moore, A L T

32

0

0

-£32.00

-100

Moore, G L

34

4

11.8

-£11.61

-34.1

Morris, M F

56

8

14.3

-£17.30

-30.9

Mulholland, N P

39

5

12.8

-£4.00

-10.3

Mullins, J W

34

1

2.9

-£30.25

-89

Murphy, Ferdy

79

4

5.1

-£59.75

-75.6

Nicholls, P F

107

32

29.9

-£1.54

-1.4

Nolan, Paul

34

5

14.7

-£12.47

-36.7

O'Grady, E J

45

6

13.3

£10.40

23.1

O'Neill, Jonjo

150

16

10.7

-£47.72

-31.8

Pipe, D E

52

10

19.2

-£3.12

-6

Powell, B G

50

0

0

-£50.00

-100

Richards, N G

35

5

14.3

-£4.93

-14.1

Roche, C

38

3

7.9

-£18.12

-47.7

Rothwell, P J

53

2

3.8

-£41.50

-78.3

Russell, Miss Lucinda V

95

13

13.7

-£14.74

-15.5

Smith, Mrs S J

86

11

12.8

£2.33

2.7

Swan, C F

43

2

4.7

-£28.00

-65.1

Tizzard, C L

76

15

19.7

£37.66

49.6

Todhunter, M

44

2

4.5

-£12.50

-28.4

Turnell, Andrew

30

7

23.3

£10.25

34.2

Twiston-Davies, N A

179

35

19.6

£11.87

6.6

Tyner, Robert

32

4

12.5

£4.00

12.5

Vaughan, Tim

64

10

15.6

-£27.07

-42.3

Webber, P R

45

3

6.7

-£22.70

-50.4

Williams, Evan

102

12

11.8

-£46.65

-45.7

Williams, Miss Venetia

40

5

12.5

-£8.62

-21.6

 

Finally I want to look at the trainer record when their runners have started in the first three of the betting:

Trainer

Runners

Winners

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Bailey, K C

54

13

24.1

£7.13

13.2

Bowen, P

63

7

11.1

-£31.62

-50.2

Bromhead, Henry De

60

13

21.7

-£27.06

-45.1

Byrnes, C

37

7

18.9

-£6.08

-16.4

Curtis, Miss Rebecca

37

8

21.6

-£8.41

-22.7

Daly, H D

27

2

7.4

-£20.27

-75.1

Dartnall, V R A

31

3

9.7

-£17.75

-57.3

Elliott, Gordon

86

20

23.3

£13.93

16.2

Ellison, B

36

7

19.4

-£7.02

-19.5

George, T R

56

11

19.6

-£13.97

-24.9

Gordon, C

25

4

16.0

-£5.25

-21.0

Harrington, Mrs John

83

15

18.1

-£27.74

-33.4

Henderson, N J

84

27

32.1

£7.26

8.6

Hill, Mrs Lawney

26

3

11.5

-£8.17

-31.4

Hobbs, P J

174

46

26.4

-£16.68

-9.6

Hourigan, Michael

42

6

14.3

-£13.62

-32.4

Hughes, D T

92

16

17.4

-£38.42

-41.8

Jefferson, J M

46

10

21.7

-£13.05

-28.4

Johnson, J Howard

96

26

27.1

-£1.50

-1.6

Keighley, M

45

10

22.2

-£10.10

-22.4

Kiely, John E

35

10

28.6

£0.68

1.9

King, A

93

26

28.0

£6.02

6.5

Lambe, J J

27

9

33.3

£4.88

18.1

Lavelle, Miss E C

44

9

20.5

-£14.29

-32.5

Llewellyn, B J

25

2

8.0

-£18.99

-76.0

Longsdon, C E

108

30

27.8

-£12.05

-11.2

Mann, C J

30

4

13.3

-£12.25

-40.8

Martin, A J

37

8

21.6

-£8.15

-22.0

McCain Jnr, D

134

28

20.9

-£11.32

-8.4

McNamara, E

25

1

4.0

-£19.50

-78.0

Meade, Noel

158

48

30.4

-£17.18

-10.9

Moore, G L

47

9

19.1

-£22.84

-48.6

Morris, M F

46

13

28.3

-£14.15

-30.8

Mulholland, N P

32

7

21.9

£4.25

13.3

Mullins, Thomas

35

13

37.1

£9.88

28.2

Mullins, W P

83

23

27.7

£4.07

4.9

Murphy, C A

36

8

22.2

-£6.00

-16.7

Murphy, Ferdy

31

4

12.9

-£16.00

-51.6

Nicholls, P F

241

73

30.3

-£5.78

-2.4

Nolan, Paul

51

12

23.5

-£13.83

-27.1

O'Grady, E J

38

12

31.6

£9.04

23.8

O'Neill, Jonjo

164

37

22.6

-£14.56

-8.9

Pipe, D E

101

22

21.8

-£28.34

-28.1

Powell, B G

34

6

17.6

-£9.93

-29.2

Quinn, J J

27

8

29.6

£0.92

3.4

Richards, N G

43

7

16.3

-£12.55

-29.2

Roche, C

35

6

17.1

-£6.12

-17.5

Russell, Miss Lucinda V

79

15

19.0

-£8.63

-10.9

Scott, J

27

11

40.7

£30.55

113.1

Scudamore, M J

30

5

16.7

-£6.25

-20.8

Sherwood, O

35

10

28.6

£7.34

21.0

Smith, Mrs S J

48

15

31.3

£11.71

24.4

Swan, C F

41

7

17.1

-£19.23

-46.9

Swinbank, G A

25

5

20.0

-£8.49

-34.0

Taaffe, T J

25

5

20.0

£1.33

5.3

Thorpe, Mrs A M

26

6

23.1

-£2.33

-9.0

Tizzard, C L

60

16

26.7

£3.79

6.3

Twiston-Davies, N A

206

51

24.8

£27.60

13.4

Vaughan, Tim

134

30

22.4

-£44.45

-33.2

Webber, P R

38

7

18.4

-£12.54

-33.0

Williams, Evan

130

30

23.1

-£14.03

-10.8

Williams, Ian

36

14

38.9

£32.21

89.5

Williams, Miss Venetia

27

3

11.1

-£14.62

-54.1

Williams, Nick

36

8

22.2

-£1.04

-2.9

 

Of all the tables this is likely to be the most useful. A real mix of fortunes here, and I would be very wary of any trainer with a lowish strike rate and/or a poor ROI%.

 








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