Each month at punterprofits we look at how trainers have performed in that month over the past few seasons. This time it is the turn of October and the data is taken from 2008 to 2012. October sees the flat winding down so the focus this month is on National Hunt trainers. October sees the National Hunt step up a gear and for this piece I am looking at data in both the UK and Ireland. All profit/losses have been calculated to SP.
As with few last months I have tweaked this article slightly to incorporate much more raw data. Once again I have decided to put the trainers in alphabetical order in the hope it is easier to track them.
A look at All Races first - I have grouped UK and Irish trainers together (50 runs or more):
Trainer
Runners
Winners
SR%
Profit/loss
ROI%
Bailey, K C
101
14
13.9
-£20.87
-20.7
Bailey, Mrs Caroline
52
3
5.8
-£33.75
-64.9
Barnes, M A
84
7
8.3
£89.00
106.0
Bealby, C C
72
8
11.1
£15.50
21.5
Berry, J A
60
5
8.3
£4.00
6.7
Bowen, P
193
14
7.3
-£78.12
-40.5
Brady, Patrick O
100
2
2.0
-£80.00
-80.0
Bridgwater, D G
53
12
22.6
-£2.04
-3.8
Bromhead, Henry De
123
15
12.2
-£34.06
-27.7
Buckler, R H
66
5
7.6
£16.50
25.0
Burke, W J
54
6
11.1
-£5.38
-10.0
Byrnes, C
86
8
9.3
-£38.08
-44.3
Carroll, A W
80
2
2.5
-£48.00
-60.0
Chapman, M C
58
5
8.6
-£5.25
-9.1
Curtis, Miss Rebecca
73
9
12.3
-£37.41
-51.2
Daly, H D
92
5
5.4
-£55.77
-60.6
Dickin, R
60
9
15.0
£14.75
24.6
Doyle, Eoin
87
8
9.2
-£18.00
-20.7
Easterby, T D
73
4
5.5
-£53.50
-73.3
Elliott, Gordon
169
27
16.0
£6.43
3.8
Ellison, B
62
8
12.9
£0.98
1.6
Fenton, Philip
55
5
9.1
-£31.36
-57.0
Flood, F
75
1
1.3
-£71.00
-94.7
Flynn, Paul W
62
4
6.5
-£12.75
-20.6
Frost, J D
65
4
6.2
-£35.50
-54.6
George, T R
96
14
14.6
-£26.97
-28.1
Gifford, N J
50
7
14.0
-£7.34
-14.7
Gilligan, Paul John
60
1
1.7
-£54.00
-90.0
Goldsworthy, W K
66
7
10.6
£7.50
11.4
Gordon, C
81
7
8.6
-£2.75
-3.4
Grant, C
89
5
5.6
-£61.99
-69.7
Hammond, Micky
57
4
7.0
-£29.50
-51.8
Hanlon, John Joseph
122
9
7.4
-£69.50
-57.0
Harrington, Mrs John
191
16
8.4
-£130.24
-68.2
Harris, M F
75
2
2.7
-£66.00
-88.0
Hawke, N J
51
1
2.0
-£41.00
-80.4
Henderson, N J
120
28
23.3
-£17.74
-14.8
Hill, Mrs Lawney
59
5
8.5
-£18.17
-30.8
Hobbs, P J
301
58
19.3
-£18.18
-6.0
Hourigan, Michael
130
9
6.9
-£68.62
-52.8
Hughes, D T
213
21
9.9
-£101.42
-47.6
Jefferson, J M
100
13
13.0
-£45.55
-45.6
Johnson, R
63
1
1.6
-£37.00
-58.7
Keighley, M
103
14
13.6
-£31.60
-30.7
Kiely, John E
60
10
16.7
-£24.32
-40.5
King, A
164
30
18.3
-£25.98
-15.8
King, N B
65
4
6.2
-£34.50
-53.1
Lambe, J J
94
11
11.7
-£45.62
-48.5
Lavelle, Miss E C
102
19
18.6
£36.71
36.0
Lee, R
63
5
7.9
-£36.62
-58.1
Leech, Mrs S
51
2
3.9
-£29.00
-56.9
Llewellyn, B J
57
4
7.0
-£32.99
-57.9
Longsdon, C E
191
34
17.8
-£59.05
-30.9
Mangan, James Joseph
59
4
6.8
-£37.17
-63.0
Mann, C J
72
8
11.1
-£5.75
-8.0
Martin, A J
115
9
7.8
-£69.15
-60.1
McCain Jnr, D
268
36
13.4
-£60.32
-22.5
McNamara, E
74
3
4.1
-£38.50
-52.0
Meade, Noel
237
55
23.2
-£20.18
-8.5
Moffatt, James
60
5
8.3
£2.00
3.3
Monteith, P
57
4
7.0
-£28.67
-50.3
Moore, A L T
58
1
1.7
-£53.50
-92.2
Moore, G L
121
12
9.9
-£53.84
-44.5
Moore, G M
57
4
7.0
-£14.25
-25.0
Morris, M F
115
15
13.0
-£45.15
-39.3
Mulholland, N P
112
11
9.8
-£30.25
-27.0
Mullins, J W
81
3
3.7
-£71.00
-87.7
Mullins, Thomas
64
14
21.9
-£10.12
-15.8
Mullins, W P
114
24
21.1
-£19.93
-17.5
Murphy, C A
94
10
10.6
-£47.00
-50.0
Murphy, Ferdy
161
5
3.1
-£138.00
-85.7
Murphy, John Joseph
53
1
1.9
-£43.00
-81.1
Nicholls, P F
272
77
28.3
£3.72
1.4
Nolan, Paul
122
18
14.8
-£26.83
-22.0
O'Brien, V T
60
1
1.7
-£56.50
-94.2
O'Dwyer, Conor
69
5
7.2
£5.50
8.0
O'Grady, E J
105
18
17.1
£24.04
22.9
O'Neill, Jonjo
380
47
12.4
-£116.06
-30.5
Pipe, D E
228
29
12.7
-£88.84
-39.0
Powell, B G
144
11
7.6
-£56.93
-39.5
Quinn, J J
55
11
20.0
£4.42
8.0
Richards, N G
100
11
11.0
-£32.05
-32.1
Roche, C
96
8
8.3
-£45.12
-47.0
Rothwell, P J
181
6
3.3
-£128.00
-70.7
Russell, Miss Lucinda V
177
21
11.9
-£50.13
-28.3
Sayer, Mrs Dianne
57
2
3.5
-£43.50
-76.3
Scott, J
60
13
21.7
£20.55
34.3
Scudamore, M J
83
9
10.8
-£9.25
-11.1
Sherwood, O
83
15
18.1
£19.34
23.3
Smith, Mrs S J
180
25
13.9
-£0.29
-0.2
Snowden, Jamie
55
7
12.7
-£7.34
-13.3
Swan, C F
118
9
7.6
-£77.23
-65.4
Taaffe, T J
81
7
8.6
-£38.67
-47.7
Thorpe, Mrs A M
63
7
11.1
-£33.33
-52.9
Tizzard, C L
137
22
16.1
£31.79
23.2
Todhunter, M
80
3
3.8
-£43.50
-54.4
Turnell, Andrew
65
10
15.4
-£1.25
-1.9
Twiston-Davies, N A
354
64
18.1
£75.60
21.4
Tyner, Robert
64
7
10.9
£8.00
12.5
Vaughan, Tim
253
40
15.8
-£65.95
-26.1
Walsh, John J
50
2
4.0
-£40.00
-80.0
Webber, P R
108
9
8.3
-£56.54
-52.4
Williams, Evan
279
38
13.6
-£73.03
-26.2
Williams, Ian
87
18
20.7
£29.71
34.1
Williams, Miss Venetia
100
7
7.0
-£47.62
-47.6
Williams, Nick
65
10
15.4
-£12.54
-19.3
Paul Nicholls has the best strike rate - 5% higher than any other trainer. Indeed he starts the season profitably albeit marginally. He has performed well in novice races with 40 wins from 104 runners for a profit of £43.10 (ROI +41.4%). Nigel Twiston-Davies has also done well in October although his profits are skewed by a 66/1 winner. One trainer to avoid looks to Venetia Williams - it looks like it takes her stable time to warm up.
Onto hurdle races next:
Trainer
Runners
Winners
SR%
Profit/loss
ROI%
Bailey, K C
60
8
13.3
-£13.12
-21.9
Barnes, M A
63
7
11.1
£110.00
174.6
Bealby, C C
42
2
4.8
-£2.00
-4.8
Bowen, P
93
5
5.4
-£41.50
-44.6
Brady, Patrick O
60
1
1.7
-£51.00
-85.0
Bromhead, Henry De
54
7
13.0
£14.36
26.6
Byrnes, C
48
6
12.5
-£23.08
-48.1
Carroll, A W
58
2
3.4
-£26.00
-44.8
Curtis, Miss Rebecca
43
6
14.0
-£21.16
-49.2
Daly, H D
47
2
4.3
-£34.27
-72.9
Doyle, Eoin
60
3
5.0
-£38.50
-64.2
Easterby, T D
42
3
7.1
-£31.50
-75.0
Elliott, Gordon
107
14
13.1
-£16.82
-15.7
Ellison, B
50
4
8.0
-£4.52
-9.0
Flood, F
43
0
0.0
-£43.00
-100.0
Frost, J D
45
2
4.4
-£35.50
-78.9
Goldsworthy, W K
40
4
10.0
£18.50
46.3
Gordon, C
46
2
4.3
-£16.50
-35.9
Grant, C
53
2
3.8
-£42.12
-79.5
Hanlon, John Joseph
75
4
5.3
-£52.50
-70.0
Harrington, Mrs John
120
7
5.8
-£96.12
-80.1
Harris, M F
57
1
1.8
-£53.00
-93.0
Henderson, N J
71
15
21.1
-£21.99
-31.0
Hobbs, P J
170
36
21.2
£17.18
10.1
Hourigan, Michael
76
5
6.6
-£40.87
-53.8
Hughes, D T
122
9
7.4
-£61.04
-50.0
Jefferson, J M
42
3
7.1
-£27.50
-65.5
Keighley, M
57
7
12.3
-£12.25
-21.5
King, A
119
24
20.2
-£14.93
-12.5
King, N B
40
3
7.5
-£14.00
-35.0
Lambe, J J
62
9
14.5
-£26.37
-42.5
Lavelle, Miss E C
58
11
19.0
£22.33
38.5
Llewellyn, B J
52
4
7.7
-£27.99
-53.8
Longsdon, C E
103
13
12.6
-£52.06
-50.5
Martin, A J
59
4
6.8
-£42.75
-72.5
McCain Jnr, D
158
22
13.9
-£27.00
-17.1
McNamara, E
44
2
4.5
-£14.00
-31.8
Meade, Noel
114
31
27.2
-£15.45
-13.6
Moffatt, James
48
5
10.4
£14.00
29.2
Moore, G L
82
6
7.3
-£53.90
-65.7
Morris, M F
55
7
12.7
-£23.85
-43.4
Mulholland, N P
65
6
9.2
-£18.25
-28.1
Mullins, Thomas
43
8
18.6
-£10.29
-23.9
Mullins, W P
67
18
26.9
£2.81
4.2
Murphy, C A
44
6
13.6
-£16.50
-37.5
Murphy, Ferdy
74
1
1.4
-£70.25
-94.9
Nicholls, P F
141
40
28.4
£17.10
12.1
Nolan, Paul
76
12
15.8
-£15.36
-20.2
O'Dwyer, Conor
47
2
4.3
-£7.00
-14.9
O'Grady, E J
55
10
18.2
£0.64
1.2
O'Neill, Jonjo
202
29
14.4
-£45.07
-22.3
Pipe, D E
169
18
10.7
-£83.22
-49.2
Powell, B G
83
9
10.8
-£21.93
-26.4
Quinn, J J
42
10
23.8
£13.67
32.5
Richards, N G
59
6
10.2
-£21.12
-35.8
Roche, C
49
3
6.1
-£29.50
-60.2
Rothwell, P J
122
4
3.3
-£80.50
-66.0
Russell, Miss Lucinda V
69
6
8.7
-£36.52
-52.9
Sayer, Mrs Dianne
43
2
4.7
-£29.50
-68.6
Scudamore, M J
46
3
6.5
-£21.75
-47.3
Sherwood, O
50
8
16.0
£16.63
33.3
Smith, Mrs S J
76
10
13.2
-£17.62
-23.2
Swan, C F
61
3
4.9
-£53.78
-88.2
Taaffe, T J
51
2
3.9
-£36.50
-71.6
Thorpe, Mrs A M
50
7
14.0
-£20.33
-40.7
Tizzard, C L
50
7
14.0
£5.13
10.3
Twiston-Davies, N A
150
28
18.7
£86.48
57.7
Vaughan, Tim
167
28
16.8
-£31.21
-18.7
Webber, P R
56
6
10.7
-£26.84
-47.9
Williams, Evan
163
24
14.7
-£16.37
-10.0
Williams, Ian
61
11
18.0
£11.80
19.3
Williams, Miss Venetia
55
2
3.6
-£34.00
-61.8
Philip Hobbs has a decent hurdles record and has made a blind profit thanks to a decent strike rate. Take a note of any LTO winners as they have secured 10 wins from 28 for a profit of £30.44 (ROI +108.7%).
Onto chase races next:
Trainer
Runners
Winners
SR%
Profit/loss
ROI%
Bailey, K C
37
6
16.2
-£3.75
-10.1
Bowen, P
86
8
9.3
-£33.62
-39.1
Brady, Patrick O
30
0
0
-£30.00
-100
Bromhead, Henry De
55
8
14.5
-£34.42
-62.6
Buckler, R H
38
4
10.5
£37.00
97.4
Byrnes, C
31
0
0
-£31.00
-100
Cornwall, J R
41
1
2.4
-£35.00
-85.4
Daly, H D
41
3
7.3
-£17.50
-42.7
Elliott, Gordon
51
10
19.6
£13.75
27
George, T R
53
9
17
-£9.64
-18.2
Gordon, C
30
5
16.7
£18.75
62.5
Hammond, Micky
31
3
9.7
-£12.00
-38.7
Harrington, Mrs John
41
6
14.6
-£17.50
-42.7
Henderson, N J
35
9
25.7
£1.50
4.3
Hobbs, P J
111
16
14.4
-£40.36
-36.4
Hourigan, Michael
34
3
8.8
-£14.75
-43.4
Hughes, D T
69
8
11.6
-£37.67
-54.6
Jefferson, J M
37
7
18.9
-£8.18
-22.1
Johnson, R
31
1
3.2
-£5.00
-16.1
Keighley, M
37
6
16.2
-£13.35
-36.1
King, A
39
5
12.8
-£10.05
-25.8
Lavelle, Miss E C
37
7
18.9
£18.50
50
Lee, R
39
4
10.3
-£17.12
-43.9
Longsdon, C E
67
17
25.4
-£4.49
-6.7
Mann, C J
34
4
11.8
-£7.25
-21.3
Martin, A J
55
5
9.1
-£25.40
-46.2
McCain Jnr, D
75
10
13.3
-£15.12
-20.2
McNamara, E
30
1
3.3
-£24.50
-81.7
Meade, Noel
86
16
18.6
£12.22
14.2
Moore, A L T
32
0
0
-£32.00
-100
Moore, G L
34
4
11.8
-£11.61
-34.1
Morris, M F
56
8
14.3
-£17.30
-30.9
Mulholland, N P
39
5
12.8
-£4.00
-10.3
Mullins, J W
34
1
2.9
-£30.25
-89
Murphy, Ferdy
79
4
5.1
-£59.75
-75.6
Nicholls, P F
107
32
29.9
-£1.54
-1.4
Nolan, Paul
34
5
14.7
-£12.47
-36.7
O'Grady, E J
45
6
13.3
£10.40
23.1
O'Neill, Jonjo
150
16
10.7
-£47.72
-31.8
Pipe, D E
52
10
19.2
-£3.12
-6
Powell, B G
50
0
0
-£50.00
-100
Richards, N G
35
5
14.3
-£4.93
-14.1
Roche, C
38
3
7.9
-£18.12
-47.7
Rothwell, P J
53
2
3.8
-£41.50
-78.3
Russell, Miss Lucinda V
95
13
13.7
-£14.74
-15.5
Smith, Mrs S J
86
11
12.8
£2.33
2.7
Swan, C F
43
2
4.7
-£28.00
-65.1
Tizzard, C L
76
15
19.7
£37.66
49.6
Todhunter, M
44
2
4.5
-£12.50
-28.4
Turnell, Andrew
30
7
23.3
£10.25
34.2
Twiston-Davies, N A
179
35
19.6
£11.87
6.6
Tyner, Robert
32
4
12.5
£4.00
12.5
Vaughan, Tim
64
10
15.6
-£27.07
-42.3
Webber, P R
45
3
6.7
-£22.70
-50.4
Williams, Evan
102
12
11.8
-£46.65
-45.7
Williams, Miss Venetia
40
5
12.5
-£8.62
-21.6
Finally I want to look at the trainer record when their runners have started in the first three of the betting:
Trainer
Runners
Winners
SR%
Profit/loss
ROI%
Bailey, K C
54
13
24.1
£7.13
13.2
Bowen, P
63
7
11.1
-£31.62
-50.2
Bromhead, Henry De
60
13
21.7
-£27.06
-45.1
Byrnes, C
37
7
18.9
-£6.08
-16.4
Curtis, Miss Rebecca
37
8
21.6
-£8.41
-22.7
Daly, H D
27
2
7.4
-£20.27
-75.1
Dartnall, V R A
31
3
9.7
-£17.75
-57.3
Elliott, Gordon
86
20
23.3
£13.93
16.2
Ellison, B
36
7
19.4
-£7.02
-19.5
George, T R
56
11
19.6
-£13.97
-24.9
Gordon, C
25
4
16.0
-£5.25
-21.0
Harrington, Mrs John
83
15
18.1
-£27.74
-33.4
Henderson, N J
84
27
32.1
£7.26
8.6
Hill, Mrs Lawney
26
3
11.5
-£8.17
-31.4
Hobbs, P J
174
46
26.4
-£16.68
-9.6
Hourigan, Michael
42
6
14.3
-£13.62
-32.4
Hughes, D T
92
16
17.4
-£38.42
-41.8
Jefferson, J M
46
10
21.7
-£13.05
-28.4
Johnson, J Howard
96
26
27.1
-£1.50
-1.6
Keighley, M
45
10
22.2
-£10.10
-22.4
Kiely, John E
35
10
28.6
£0.68
1.9
King, A
93
26
28.0
£6.02
6.5
Lambe, J J
27
9
33.3
£4.88
18.1
Lavelle, Miss E C
44
9
20.5
-£14.29
-32.5
Llewellyn, B J
25
2
8.0
-£18.99
-76.0
Longsdon, C E
108
30
27.8
-£12.05
-11.2
Mann, C J
30
4
13.3
-£12.25
-40.8
Martin, A J
37
8
21.6
-£8.15
-22.0
McCain Jnr, D
134
28
20.9
-£11.32
-8.4
McNamara, E
25
1
4.0
-£19.50
-78.0
Meade, Noel
158
48
30.4
-£17.18
-10.9
Moore, G L
47
9
19.1
-£22.84
-48.6
Morris, M F
46
13
28.3
-£14.15
-30.8
Mulholland, N P
32
7
21.9
£4.25
13.3
Mullins, Thomas
35
13
37.1
£9.88
28.2
Mullins, W P
83
23
27.7
£4.07
4.9
Murphy, C A
36
8
22.2
-£6.00
-16.7
Murphy, Ferdy
31
4
12.9
-£16.00
-51.6
Nicholls, P F
241
73
30.3
-£5.78
-2.4
Nolan, Paul
51
12
23.5
-£13.83
-27.1
O'Grady, E J
38
12
31.6
£9.04
23.8
O'Neill, Jonjo
164
37
22.6
-£14.56
-8.9
Pipe, D E
101
22
21.8
-£28.34
-28.1
Powell, B G
34
6
17.6
-£9.93
-29.2
Quinn, J J
27
8
29.6
£0.92
3.4
Richards, N G
43
7
16.3
-£12.55
-29.2
Roche, C
35
6
17.1
-£6.12
-17.5
Russell, Miss Lucinda V
79
15
19.0
-£8.63
-10.9
Scott, J
27
11
40.7
£30.55
113.1
Scudamore, M J
30
5
16.7
-£6.25
-20.8
Sherwood, O
35
10
28.6
£7.34
21.0
Smith, Mrs S J
48
15
31.3
£11.71
24.4
Swan, C F
41
7
17.1
-£19.23
-46.9
Swinbank, G A
25
5
20.0
-£8.49
-34.0
Taaffe, T J
25
5
20.0
£1.33
5.3
Thorpe, Mrs A M
26
6
23.1
-£2.33
-9.0
Tizzard, C L
60
16
26.7
£3.79
6.3
Twiston-Davies, N A
206
51
24.8
£27.60
13.4
Vaughan, Tim
134
30
22.4
-£44.45
-33.2
Webber, P R
38
7
18.4
-£12.54
-33.0
Williams, Evan
130
30
23.1
-£14.03
-10.8
Williams, Ian
36
14
38.9
£32.21
89.5
Williams, Miss Venetia
27
3
11.1
-£14.62
-54.1
Williams, Nick
36
8
22.2
-£1.04
-2.9
Of all the tables this is likely to be the most useful. A real mix of fortunes here, and I would be very wary of any trainer with a lowish strike rate and/or a poor ROI%.
