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May Trainers 2014


 

May Trainers (Flat) 2014 by David Renham

This month I am looking at trainer performance in May on the flat. Trainers tend to be creatures of habit and tend to peak / trough at similar times each year. This article is based on UK and Irish Flat trainers in the month of May with data taken from 2009 to 2013.

May sees the start of some of the bigger meetings including the Guineas meeting at Newmarket, the Chester May Meeting and the York Dante meeting.

Firstly let us look at all races during this month.

All races (May 09-13) – 50 runs+

Trainers have been put in alphabetical order.

Trainer

Runs

Wins

SR (%)

Profit/loss

ROI (%)

Alston, E J

155

16

10.3

-£67.65

-43.6

Appleby, M

69

8

11.6

-£28.25

-40.9

Attwater, M J

95

5

5.3

-£7.00

-7.4

Bailey, A

106

11

10.4

+£96.43

+91.0

Baker, George

128

17

13.3

-£26.07

-20.4

Balding, A M

407

62

15.2

-£18.60

-4.6

Barr, R E

75

5

6.7

-£36.50

-48.7

Barron, T D

281

39

13.9

-£73.21

-26.1

Bastiman, R

69

9

13.0

+£43.00

+62.3

Baugh, B P J

104

7

6.7

+£134.00

+128.8

Beckett, R M

253

38

15.0

£16.01

6.3

Bell, M L W

278

36

12.9

-£81.82

-29.4

Berry, A

182

8

4.4

-£62.75

-34.5

Best, J R

137

10

7.3

-£9.00

-6.6

Bethell, J D

93

15

16.1

+£44.13

+47.5

Blanshard, M

64

0

0.0

-£64.00

-100.0

Bolger, J S

309

42

13.6

-£28.79

-9.3

Botti, M

189

13

6.9

-£96.84

-51.2

Bowring, S R

73

10

13.7

+£62.25

+85.3

Boyle, J R

135

15

11.1

+£15.25

+11.3

Bradley, J M

192

8

4.2

-£110.00

-57.3

Bridger, J J

127

8

6.3

-£29.75

-23.4

Brisbourne, W M

140

9

6.4

-£35.50

-25.4

Brittain, C E

198

22

11.1

-£60.24

-30.4

Brittain, M

111

4

3.6

-£83.25

-75.0

Brown, A D

66

6

9.1

-£32.00

-48.5

Brown, D H

96

11

11.5

-£33.04

-34.4

Burke, K R

59

10

16.9

+£13.27

+22.5

Burke, Mrs K

120

17

14.2

+£12.72

+10.6

Butler, G A

80

7

8.8

-£10.50

-13.1

Camacho, Miss J A

60

1

1.7

-£19.00

-31.7

Candy, H

146

23

15.8

-£36.37

-24.9

Carr, Mrs R A

243

38

15.6

+£53.71

+22.1

Carroll, A W

191

16

8.4

-£60.92

-31.9

Carroll, D

159

11

6.9

+£71.80

+45.2

Cecil stable

234

55

23.5

+£13.68

+5.8

Chamings, P R

69

11

15.9

+£12.00

+17.4

Channon, M R

659

74

11.2

-£237.03

-36.0

Chapman, M C

56

0

0.0

-£56.00

-100.0

Chapple-Hyam, Jane

96

8

8.3

-£58.81

-61.3

Chapple-Hyam, P W

131

16

12.2

-£60.06

-45.8

Charlton, R

179

41

22.9

+£44.51

+24.9

Cole, P F I

214

17

7.9

-£106.76

-49.9

Collins, Tracey

84

5

6.0

-£32.00

-38.1

Condon, K J

87

6

6.9

-£50.42

-58.0

Cowell, R M H

77

11

14.3

+£14.42

+18.7

Cox, C G

246

29

11.8

-£50.91

-20.7

Cumani, L M

216

43

19.9

+£28.68

+13.3

Dalgleish, Keith

115

14

12.2

-£32.62

-28.4

DArcy, P W

72

10

13.9

+£19.25

+26.7

Dascombe, Tom

291

41

14.1

-£36.15

-12.4

Davis, D J S Ffrench

66

2

3.0

-£55.50

-84.1

Deegan, P D

157

14

8.9

-£69.44

-44.2

Dods, M

284

38

13.4

+£42.94

+15.1

Donovan, D

61

4

6.6

-£27.25

-44.7

Dore, C R

83

6

7.2

-£30.67

-37.0

Dow, S

79

4

5.1

-£44.75

-56.6

Duffield, Mrs A

147

16

10.9

+£24.58

+16.7

Dunlop, E A L

263

29

11.0

-£102.95

-39.1

Dunlop, H J L

89

11

12.4

+£39.67

+44.6

Dunlop, J L

177

29

16.4

-£16.03

-9.1

Dunnett, Mrs C A

93

5

5.4

-£67.34

-72.4

Dwyer, C A

81

2

2.5

-£50.00

-61.7

Easterby, M W

265

24

9.1

-£26.50

-10.0

Easterby, T D

651

52

8.0

-£285.51

-43.9

Eddery, Pat

86

3

3.5

-£57.00

-66.3

Ellison, B

277

30

10.8

-£87.83

-31.7

Elsworth, D R C

154

18

11.7

-£38.39

-24.9

Eustace, J M P

65

7

10.8

-£6.62

-10.2

Evans, P D

492

53

10.8

-£127.94

-26.0

Fahey, R A

802

112

14.0

-£217.30

-27.1

Fanshawe, J R

143

14

9.8

-£57.12

-39.9

Feilden, Miss J

84

7

8.3

-£43.62

-51.9

Flynn, Patrick J

142

10

7.0

-£54.00

-38.0

Foster, A G

71

4

5.6

-£23.50

-33.1

Gallagher, J

97

7

7.2

-£19.17

-19.8

Gask, J R

119

9

7.6

-£41.50

-34.9

George, Karen

57

2

3.5

-£42.50

-74.6

Given, J G

168

12

7.1

-£65.00

-38.7

Goldie, J S

239

28

11.7

+£40.98

+17.1

Gorman, J T

85

1

1.2

-£77.00

-90.6

Gosden, J H M

365

66

18.1

-£60.35

-16.5

Grassick, M J

65

5

7.7

-£28.50

-43.8

Grayson, Peter

70

0

0.0

-£70.00

-100.0

Green, Paul

82

6

7.3

-£11.67

-14.2

Griffiths, D C

50

6

12.0

-£23.75

-47.5

Guest, R C

256

18

7.0

-£27.25

-10.6

Guest, Rae

95

6

6.3

-£49.50

-52.1

Haggas, W J

257

53

20.6

-£34.56

-13.4

Halford, M

194

24

12.4

+£11.00

+5.7

Hammond, Micky

116

7

6.0

-£36.00

-31.0

Hannon stable

916

156

17.0

-£85.72

-9.4

Harker, G A

90

11

12.2

-£13.12

-14.6

Harrington, Mrs John

135

10

7.4

-£89.90

-66.6

Harris, R A

255

16

6.3

-£58.50

-22.9

Haynes, A B

121

15

12.4

-£61.26

-50.6

Hiatt, P W

70

5

7.1

-£30.50

-43.6

Hills, Charles

121

13

10.7

-£58.84

-48.6

Hills, J W

175

11

6.3

-£72.25

-41.3

Hodges, R J

100

7

7.0

-£44.09

-44.1

Hollinshead, R

121

8

6.6

-£43.40

-35.9

Houghton, Eve Johnson

159

16

10.1

+£23.13

+14.5

Howling, P

66

5

7.6

-£8.00

-12.1

Ivory, D K

114

9

7.9

-£44.25

-38.8

Jarvis, A P

112

12

10.7

+£36.08

+32.2

Jarvis, W

83

7

8.4

-£49.12

-59.2

Jenkins, J R

141

16

11.3

-£51.17

-36.3

Johnston, M

794

110

13.9

-£162.72

-20.5

Jones, D Haydn

63

4

6.3

+£7.50

+11.9

Kelleway, Miss Gay

110

12

10.9

-£9.50

-8.6

Kirk, S

149

15

10.1

-£2.75

-1.8

Kittow, W S

103

11

10.7

-£12.75

-12.4

Knight, W J

136

17

12.5

+£68.73

+50.5

Lanigan, D R

89

16

18.0

-£27.95

-31.4

Lidderdale, A J

63

7

11.1

-£5.50

-8.7

Llewellyn, B J

56

8

14.3

+£37.75

+67.4

Loughnane, Daniel Mark

64

7

10.9

-£27.25

-42.6

Lynam, Edward

89

10

11.2

-£25.50

-28.7

Lyons, G M

198

27

13.6

-£16.00

-8.1

Mackie, J

63

9

14.3

+£2.63

+4.2

Makin, P J

70

7

10.0

+£77.00

+110.0

Margarson, G G

67

7

10.4

-£0.56

-0.8

Marnane, David

154

11

7.1

-£53.00

-34.4

Martin, Patrick

83

8

9.6

+£3.63

+4.4

McAteer, Liam

57

2

3.5

-£47.50

-83.3

McBride, P J

56

4

7.1

-£29.67

-53.0

McCabe, A J

219

19

8.7

+£45.08

+20.6

McConnell, John C

68

1

1.5

-£64.25

-94.5

McCourt, T G

78

3

3.8

-£44.00

-56.4

McCreery, W

124

12

9.7

+£4.50

+3.6

McEntee, P S

72

4

5.6

-£44.25

-61.5

McGuinness, Adrian

68

3

4.4

-£36.50

-53.7

McInnes, I W

111

5

4.5

-£20.50

-18.5

McMahon, E S

98

8

8.2

-£72.42

-73.9

Meehan, B J

322

33

10.2

-£135.99

-42.2

Midgley, P T

293

24

8.2

+£15.50

+5.3

Millman, B R

202

12

5.9

-£86.25

-42.7

Moffatt, James

53

3

5.7

-£37.30

-70.4

Moore, G L

199

21

10.6

-£81.67

-41.0

Moore, G M

81

6

7.4

-£8.17

-10.1

Moore, J S

169

16

9.5

-£59.92

-35.5

Morgan, Ms Joanna

110

5

4.5

-£45.00

-40.9

Morris, Patrick

102

5

4.9

-£58.25

-57.1

Morrison, H

220

27

12.3

-£39.70

-18.0

Muir, W R

147

7

4.8

-£71.25

-48.5

Mullineaux, M

72

6

8.3

+£107.00

+148.6

Mulvany, Michael

52

1

1.9

-£47.00

-90.4

Murphy, John Joseph

118

6

5.1

-£41.50

-35.2

Murphy, Joseph G

55

4

7.3

+£0.50

+0.9

Musson, W J

77

3

3.9

-£50.25

-65.3

Nicholls, D

464

48

10.3

-£91.78

-19.8

Noseda, J

183

30

16.4

-£47.05

-25.7

O’Brien, A P

386

91

23.6

+£13.93

+3.6

O’Brien, Charles

77

9

11.7

-£14.87

-19.3

O’Keeffe, Jedd

81

3

3.7

-£68.62

-84.7

Oldroyd, G R

54

4

7.4

-£18.00

-33.3

Oliver, Andrew

147

12

8.2

-£27.37

-18.6

O’Meara, D

236

35

14.8

-£47.42

-20.1

Osborne, J A

142

13

9.2

-£42.50

-29.9

Oxx, John M

140

24

17.1

-£42.22

-30.2

Palling, B

85

5

5.9

-£51.25

-60.3

Pears, Ollie

113

11

9.7

-£32.12

-28.4

Perratt, Miss L A

138

7

5.1

-£52.25

-37.9

Perrett, Mrs A J

170

21

12.4

+£9.20

+5.4

Phelan, P M

74

3

4.1

-£52.25

-70.6

Portman, J G

147

9

6.1

-£60.87

-41.4

Powell, B G

88

5

5.7

-£34.37

-39.1

Prendergast, Kevin

200

17

8.5

-£89.37

-44.7

Prendergast, P J

73

6

8.2

-£12.70

-17.4

Prescott, Sir Mark

80

16

20.0

-£9.95

-12.4

Price, R J

88

6

6.8

-£14.50

-16.5

Quinlan, N

51

5

9.8

-£10.37

-20.3

Quinn, J J

234

25

10.7

-£70.54

-30.1

Quinn, M

56

2

3.6

-£40.00

-71.4

Rogers, H

95

4

4.2

-£64.50

-67.9

Ryan, J

79

5

6.3

-£61.09

-77.3

Ryan, K A

581

89

15.3

+£16.89

+2.9

Saunders, M S

98

13

13.3

-£33.68

-34.4

Semple, I

73

8

11.0

+£2.25

+3.1

Shaw, D

104

7

6.7

-£38.67

-37.2

Simcock, D M

266

32

12.0

-£61.41

-23.1

Smart, B

251

24

9.6

-£91.45

-36.4

Spearing, J L

57

6

10.5

-£11.25

-19.7

Stack, T

143

22

15.4

-£41.39

-28.9

Stoute, Sir Michael

328

76

23.2

-£67.04

-20.4

Stubbs, Mrs L

60

7

11.7

+£10.50

+17.5

Suroor, Saeed Bin

202

30

14.9

-£73.86

-36.6

Swinbank, G A

276

31

11.2

-£17.12

-6.2

Swinburn, W R

153

13

8.5

-£61.01

-39.9

Tate, T P

99

8

8.1

-£63.99

-64.6

Teague, C J

57

1

1.8

-£31.00

-54.4

Teal, R A

72

7

9.7

-£8.30

-11.5

Tinkler, N

114

7

6.1

-£27.25

-23.9

Tompkins, M H

167

15

9.0

-£61.17

-36.6

Tregoning, M P

84

12

14.3

-£15.78

-18.8

Turner, W G M

102

14

13.7

-£14.00

-13.7

Usher, M D I

113

11

9.7

+£5.00

+4.4

Varian, Roger

149

31

20.8

-£7.58

-5.1

Vaughan, E F

91

8

8.8

-£18.50

-20.3

Wachman, David

208

25

12.0

-£55.75

-26.8

Waggott, Miss Tracy

103

12

11.7

-£18.87

-18.3

Wainwright, J S

69

0

0.0

-£69.00

-100.0

Walford, T D

73

5

6.8

-£41.00

-56.2

Wall, C F

127

13

10.2

-£22.12

-17.4

Weld, D K

291

49

16.8

-£97.96

-33.7

Weymes, J R

104

4

3.8

-£57.00

-54.8

Whitaker, R M

137

12

8.8

-£19.50

-14.2

Wigham, M

54

4

7.4

-£24.00

-44.4

Williams, Ian

145

14

9.7

-£16.25

-11.2

Williams, S C

133

6

4.5

-£104.67

-78.7

Williamson, Mrs L

58

2

3.4

-£11.00

-19.0

Wilson, N

97

8

8.2

-£31.25

-32.2

Winkworth, P

63

6

9.5

+£17.44

+27.7

 

Aidan O’Brien has a very good record in May with a strike rate edging towards 1 win in 4 and a small overall profit to boot. Here is a breakdown of his runners split into various categories:

 

Variable

Runs

Wins

SR (%)

Profit/loss

ROI (%)

Course - Chester

24

11

45.8

+£34.95

+145.6

Distance - 1m2f+

169

50

29.6

+£67.46

+39.9

Group 3 races

79

18

22.8

+£59.93

+75.9

British bred runners

43

19

44.2

+£28.08

+65.3

 Price LTO - Less than 1/2

23

14

60.9

+£21.59

+93.9

LTO winner

82

29

35.4

+£52.56

+64.1

LTO finished in first three

193

63

32.6

+£93.61

+48.5

 

Some areas there for O’Brien that definitely require consideration this May.

 

Roger Charlton  is another trainer to keep an eye on in May. Here are some areas worth closer scrutiny:

 

Variable

Runs

Wins

SR (%)

Profit/loss

ROI (%)

Class 2 or lower

151

33

21.9

+£38.17

+25.3

Males Only Races

25

9

36.0

+£19.46

+77.8

British bred runners

114

30

26.3

+£61.67

+54.1

Course LTO - Newbury

34

12

35.3

+£23.73

+69.8

2nd to 5th in the betting 

93

22

23.7

+£43.83

+47.1

Class droppers 

49

16

32.7

+£36.44

+74.4

LTO favourite/second fav 

68

23

33.8

+£27.54

+40.5

 

Roger Charlton looks worth keeping ‘onside’ in May.

 

As I have said many times in the past, with any general stats such as these though, it often best to split into more specific race-types. Hence, let us look at 2yo maiden races in May since 2009. I have included all trainers with at least 10 runners:

 

All 2yo maiden races (May 09-13) – 25 runs+

 

Trainer

Runs

Wins

SR (%)

Profit/loss

ROI (%)

Barron, T D

26

4

15.4

-£14.86

-57.2

Beckett, R M

34

3

8.8

-£11.75

-34.6

Bell, M L W

27

3

11.1

-£12.00

-44.4

Bolger, J S

44

8

18.2

+£0.92

+2.1

Brittain, C E

43

8

18.6

-£1.42

-3.3

Brown, D H

30

6

20.0

+£9.13

+30.4

Channon, M R

148

26

17.6

-£23.41

-15.8

Cole, P F I

41

7

17.1

-£7.70

-18.8

Dascombe, Tom

75

15

20.0

-£0.13

-0.2

Duffield, Mrs A

26

1

3.8

-£14.00

-53.8

Easterby, M W

34

1

2.9

+£0.00

+0.0

Easterby, T D

121

7

5.8

-£51.87

-42.9

Evans, P D

77

5

6.5

-£66.06

-85.8

Fahey, R A

110

25

22.7

-£7.95

-7.2

Hannon stable

247

60

24.3

+£49.32

+20.0

Harris, R A

27

2

7.4

+£22.00

+81.5

Hills, J W

28

1

3.6

-£20.00

-71.4

Johnston, M

105

20

19.0

-£5.50

-5.2

Lyons, G M

33

5

15.2

-£3.00

-9.1

McCabe, A J

38

2

5.3

-£28.17

-74.1

Meehan, B J

76

7

9.2

-£28.09

-37.0

Midgley, P T

49

2

4.1

+£31.00

+63.3

Millman, B R

30

1

3.3

-£13.00

-43.3

Moore, J S

47

7

14.9

+£5.58

+11.9

O’Brien, A P

60

17

28.3

-£5.70

-9.5

Osborne, J A

25

2

8.0

-£15.25

-61.0

Prendergast, Kevin

29

4

13.8

-£2.75

-9.5

Ryan, K A

106

16

15.1

-£23.14

-21.8

Smart, B

31

5

16.1

+£1.60

+5.2

Tinkler, N

29

1

3.4

-£25.25

-87.1

Turner, W G M

35

5

14.3

-£8.37

-23.9

Wachman, David

39

3

7.7

-£31.20

-80.0

Weld, D K

38

5

13.2

-£2.70

-7.1

 

This table should be quite useful for those of you who bet in 2yo maidens. The Hannon stable have a good record and it will be interesting to see if this continues this year after the retirement of Richard Hannon senior.

 

Finally a look at 3yo only handicaps: 40 runs+

 

Trainer

Runs

Wins

SR (%)

Profit/loss

ROI (%)

Balding, A M

103

16

15.5

-£12.99

-12.6

Barron, T D

53

9

17.0

-£7.97

-15.0

Beckett, R M

69

10

14.5

+£32.00

+46.4

Bell, M L W

108

18

16.7

-£17.84

-16.5

Best, J R

51

5

9.8

+£39.00

+76.5

Botti, M

46

4

8.7

-£17.00

-37.0

Brittain, C E

51

4

7.8

-£5.75

-11.3

Channon, M R

204

15

7.4

-£84.29

-41.3

Charlton, R

60

15

25.0

+£17.91

+29.9

Cole, P F I

47

2

4.3

-£38.50

-81.9

Cox, C G

60

5

8.3

-£34.04

-56.7

Cumani, L M

41

10

24.4

+£4.50

+11.0

Dascombe, Tom

63

7

11.1

-£9.75

-15.5

Deegan, P D

42

4

9.5

-£9.00

-21.4

Dods, M

56

11

19.6

+£11.60

+20.7

Duffield, Mrs A

46

3

6.5

-£11.50

-25.0

Dunlop, E A L

76

11

14.5

+£5.11

+6.7

Dunlop, J L

69

13

18.8

-£4.41

-6.4

Easterby, M W

55

11

20.0

+£11.00

+20.0

Easterby, T D

125

8

6.4

-£85.27

-68.2

Elsworth, D R C

40

7

17.5

+£9.50

+23.8

Evans, P D

83

2

2.4

-£49.00

-59.0

Fahey, R A

180

23

12.8

-£55.46

-30.8

Given, J G

51

4

7.8

-£20.00

-39.2

Gosden, J H M

75

8

10.7

-£34.67

-46.2

Hannon stable

256

31

12.1

+£10.10

+3.9

Hills, J W

54

5

9.3

+£3.50

+6.5

Johnston, M

301

38

12.6

-£100.47

-33.4

Kirk, S

63

4

6.3

-£31.50

-50.0

Lyons, G M

47

9

19.1

+£12.75

+27.1

Meehan, B J

76

8

10.5

-£41.49

-54.6

Midgley, P T

44

2

4.5

-£32.00

-72.7

Moore, G L

51

3

5.9

-£27.38

-53.7

Morrison, H

66

9

13.6

-£15.75

-23.9

Nicholls, D

45

3

6.7

-£6.17

-13.7

Perrett, Mrs A J

52

6

11.5

-£14.75

-28.4

Portman, J G

48

3

6.3

-£27.25

-56.8

Ryan, K A

141

22

15.6

+£48.26

+34.2

Simcock, D M

58

6

10.3

+£2.00

+3.4

Smart, B

53

3

5.7

-£29.00

-54.7

Stoute, Sir Michael

60

10

16.7

-£28.04

-46.7

Swinburn, W R

42

4

9.5

-£8.17

-19.5

Tompkins, M H

43

3

7.0

-£22.00

-51.2

 

A few trainers to keep on the right side of in these races.

 

Hopefully this article has given you some useful facts and figures for the month of May.

 

 








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