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| Articles >> horse-racing >> Long Term Consistency Records Long Term Consistency Records by David Renham
This week I have focused on all handicap races in 2009 with a view to seeing whether consistent horses perform better than inconsistent ones. To qualify for the study I decided that only horses that had run at least 10 times in their careers would be analysed. I felt that horses that had run less than 10 times may skew the figures.
My next task was decide how best to use my data. I felt the best idea in terms of looking at the consistency of a horse was to use their win and placed record. I surmised that using a win and placed percentage figure for all their career runs would give me a decent indicator of their consistency. For example, a horse that had run 20 times, winning 4 and being placed on 6 further occasions would gain a % figure of 50.
I decided to begin with to split the win & placed percentages thus: I spilt into bands of 5% until getting to 55% and here are my initial findings:
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