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June Trainers 2013


 

June Trainers 2013 by David Renham

 

Each month on Punter Profits I have a look at past trainer monthly data. We come to April and it is now that the flat season springs into life and hence this article focuses on trainers 'on the level'. I have taken data from the last five Junes (2008 to 2012) and I have included Irish results as well as UK. All profits/losses have been calculated to SP.

 

All races - a look at trainer performance in every type of contest to begin with focusing on the better performing ones (SR 14%+):

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Prescott, Sir Mark

39

157

24.8

+£20.29

+12.9

Varian, Roger

20

82

24.4

+£34.66

+42.3

Mullins, W P

11

51

21.6

+£21.95

+43.0

Cumani, L M

49

229

21.4

-£4.40

-1.9

O'Brien, A P

84

451

18.6

-£94.87

-21.0

Oxx, John M

44

242

18.2

-£31.29

-12.9

Harker, G A

15

83

18.1

+£6.38

+7.7

Stoute, Sir Michael

54

302

17.9

-£57.57

-19.1

Ellison, B

42

240

17.5

+£53.15

+22.1

Wachman, David

42

241

17.4

-£12.53

-5.2

Noseda, J

28

166

16.9

-£47.37

-28.5

Williams, Ian

24

143

16.8

+£7.61

+5.3

Williamson, Mrs L

11

66

16.7

+£35.00

+53.0

Haggas, W J

50

301

16.6

-£45.47

-15.1

Charlton, R

28

169

16.6

-£5.30

-3.1

Dalgleish, Keith

11

67

16.4

-£10.75

-16.0

Cecil, H R A

35

216

16.2

-£46.85

-21.7

Murphy, Mike

8

50

16.0

+£24.75

+49.5

Suroor, Saeed Bin

38

238

16.0

-£51.05

-21.4

Gosden, J H M

65

412

15.8

-£62.63

-15.2

Barron, T D

41

262

15.6

-£9.90

-3.8

Meade, Noel

9

58

15.5

+£11.75

+20.3

Price, R J

17

111

15.3

+£16.02

+14.4

Guest, Rae

20

131

15.3

+£0.20

+0.2

Swinburn, W R

29

190

15.3

-£4.32

-2.3

Harrington, Mrs John

28

188

14.9

-£15.74

-8.4

Hannon, R

144

967

14.9

-£116.45

-12.0

King, A

11

74

14.9

+£3.44

+4.6

Burke, Mrs K

10

68

14.7

+£12.73

+18.7

Morrison, H

35

238

14.7

+£7.05

+3.0

Eddery, Pat

16

110

14.5

-£4.10

-3.7

Beckett, R M

39

270

14.4

-£14.29

-5.3

Bell, M L W

38

264

14.4

-£42.35

-16.0

Swinbank, G A

37

258

14.3

-£36.21

-14.0

Dods, M

42

294

14.3

-£25.51

-8.7

Toller, J A R

8

56

14.3

+£67.33

+120.2

Mongan, Mrs L J

7

50

14.0

+£56.88

+113.8

 

 

Sir Mark Prescott tops the list in terms of strike rate, as he did in May and backing all his runners 'blind' would have produced a profit. There are some additional Prescott angles worth noting. When he has teamed up with jockey Seb Sanders in june they have produced 23 winners from 69 (SR 33.3%) for a profit of £21.78 (ROI +31.6%); horses returning to the track within 30 days have done well with 31 wins from 96 (SR 32.23%) for a profit of £45.56 (ROI +47.5%); finally do not be put off by horses that were beaten by more than 5 lengths LTO. they have provided an impressive profit of £48.23 (ROI +81.7%) thanks to 13 winners from 59 (SR 22%).

 

Roger Varian has produced an excellent strike rate in June since taking over from Michael Jarvis in 2011. There does not seem to be any significant angles to note, simply all his runners seem to give of their best.

 

Luca Cumani has a good record at this time of the year and although he has not made an overall profit, he has virtually broken even over 229 bets. Cumani has performed especially well at Doncaster with 10 wins from 21 (SR 47.6%) for a profit of £30.50 (ROI +145.2%). He also has done well at Nottingham from a handful of horses (5 winners from just 7 runners). The profits for Cumani have come from his handicappers thanks to 26 wins from 108 (SR 24.1%) for a profit of £40.24 (ROI +37.3%). Also it should be noted that the market has been an excellent guide to the chances of all his runners - horses priced 12/1 have provided all his winners; horses priced 14/1 have provided 53 consecutive losers.

 

Onto the trainers now who have struggled in June:

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Chapple-Hyam, Jane

5

98

5.1

-£42.50

-43.4

Deegan, P D

7

139

5.0

-£92.49

-66.5

Jones, D Haydn

3

61

4.9

-£32.67

-53.6

Dore, C R

5

105

4.8

-£80.25

-76.4

Barr, R E

4

85

4.7

-£32.00

-37.6

Brown, A D

3

64

4.7

-£28.50

-44.5

McCreery, W

5

107

4.7

-£64.62

-60.4

Phelan, P M

4

89

4.5

-£62.50

-70.2

McEntee, P S

3

69

4.3

-£54.56

-79.1

Bradley, J M

11

256

4.3

-£80.59

-31.5

Oldroyd, G R

3

70

4.3

-£42.00

-60.0

Jarvis, W

4

94

4.3

-£53.00

-56.4

Barker, D W

3

72

4.2

-£51.50

-71.5

Mulvany, Michael

3

75

4.0

-£42.00

-56.0

Dunlop, H J L

4

104

3.8

-£42.62

-41.0

Fairhurst, C W

2

52

3.8

-£26.67

-51.3

Blanshard, M

4

106

3.8

-£63.50

-59.9

Prendergast, P J

2

54

3.7

-£36.67

-67.9

Perratt, Miss L A

7

192

3.6

-£123.00

-64.1

Murphy, John Joseph

5

139

3.6

-£87.50

-62.9

Eustace, J M P

2

56

3.6

-£32.25

-57.6

Weymes, J R

4

117

3.4

-£83.00

-70.9

Foster, A G

3

88

3.4

-£71.50

-81.3

Dunnett, Mrs C A

3

90

3.3

+£54.00

+60.0

Usher, M D I

4

122

3.3

-£35.00

-28.7

Grassick, M J

2

65

3.1

-£39.00

-60.0

Margarson, G G

2

80

2.5

-£68.50

-85.6

Berry, A

5

212

2.4

-£158.67

-74.8

Mc Innes, I W

3

145

2.1

-£119.50

-82.4

O'Mara, T J

2

97

2.1

-£91.49

-94.3

Donovan, D

1

51

2.0

-£44.00

-86.3

Howling, P

2

102

2.0

-£89.17

-87.4

Newcombe, A G

1

52

1.9

-£48.50

-93.3

Creighton, E J

1

55

1.8

-£40.00

-72.7

Teague, C J

1

62

1.6

-£55.50

-89.5

Mullineaux, M

1

70

1.4

-£64.50

-92.1

Doyle, Timothy

1

71

1.4

-£64.00

-90.1

Mc Ateer, Liam

1

80

1.3

-£67.00

-83.8

Wainwright, J S

1

81

1.2

-£64.00

-79.0

McConnell, John C

0

59

0.0

-£59.00

-100.0

McWilliams, H A

0

65

0.0

-£65.00

-100.0

 

All these trainers look worth swerving this month.

 

A look at 2yo maidens next. I am going to show all trainers that have at least 25 runners in 2yo maidens in the last 5 years (in June):

 

2yo maidens

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Prescott, Sir Mark

12

37

32.4

+£35.13

+94.9

Suroor, Saeed Bin

8

25

32.0

+£4.01

+16.0

O'Brien, A P

20

82

24.4

-£13.78

-16.8

Burke, K R

7

29

24.1

+£25.63

+88.4

Prendergast, Kevin

15

66

22.7

+£5.96

+9.0

Bell, M L W

9

43

20.9

+£21.21

+49.3

Baker, George

5

25

20.0

+£6.50

+26.0

Hannon, R

58

300

19.3

-£30.54

-10.2

Gosden, J H M

11

58

19.0

+£30.92

+53.3

McMahon, E S

6

32

18.8

-£5.37

-16.8

Wachman, David

10

56

17.9

-£11.57

-20.7

Cole, P F I

8

45

17.8

+£13.67

+30.4

Ryan, K A

18

108

16.7

+£104.92

+97.1

Fahey, R A

20

121

16.5

+£33.10

+27.4

Nicholls, D

6

37

16.2

-£7.12

-19.2

Barron, T D

5

31

16.1

+£1.00

+3.2

Balding, A M

6

38

15.8

-£3.77

-9.9

Botti, M

5

33

15.2

-£3.97

-12.0

Beckett, R M

7

48

14.6

+£0.41

+0.9

Stack, T

4

28

14.3

-£13.52

-48.3

Osborne, J A

4

30

13.3

+£3.63

+12.1

Simcock, D M

4

30

13.3

+£0.69

+2.3

Smart, B

6

48

12.5

+£19.36

+40.3

Channon, M R

21

169

12.4

-£70.13

-41.5

Dascombe, Tom

10

82

12.2

-£16.77

-20.5

Duffield, Mrs A

5

41

12.2

+£43.25

+105.5

Lyons, G M

8

67

11.9

-£9.65

-14.4

Bolger, J S

8

68

11.8

-£17.02

-25.0

Johnston, M

15

128

11.7

-£64.52

-50.4

Haggas, W J

3

28

10.7

-£16.87

-60.3

Meehan, B J

8

82

9.8

-£34.33

-41.9

Tinkler, N

3

31

9.7

-£9.25

-29.8

Easterby, T D

12

139

8.6

-£59.03

-42.5

Dunlop, J L

3

38

7.9

-£30.12

-79.3

Evans, P D

3

38

7.9

+£27.73

+73.0

Dods, M

2

26

7.7

-£18.83

-72.4

Muir, W R

2

27

7.4

-£17.50

-64.8

McCabe, A J

4

55

7.3

-£39.33

-71.5

Best, J R

2

28

7.1

-£7.00

-25.0

Kirk, S

3

42

7.1

-£0.50

-1.2

Condon, K J

2

29

6.9

+£1.50

+5.2

Elsworth, D R C

2

29

6.9

-£15.33

-52.9

Weld, D K

3

45

6.7

-£3.00

-6.7

Moore, J S

3

46

6.5

-£25.00

-54.3

Dunlop, E A L

3

47

6.4

-£41.47

-88.2

Millman, B R

2

33

6.1

-£23.50

-71.2

Brittain, C E

3

57

5.3

-£41.00

-71.9

Portman, J G

2

38

5.3

+£32.00

+84.2

Deegan, P D

1

33

3.0

-£30.12

-91.3

Tompkins, M H

1

33

3.0

-£31.33

-94.9

Houghton, Eve Johnson

1

34

2.9

-£30.50

-89.7

Midgley, P T

1

38

2.6

-£30.50

-80.3

Easterby, M W

0

38

0.0

-£38.00

-100.0

Weymes, J R

0

25

0.0

-£25.00

-100.0

 

Several trainers to note here and all those with a strike rate of 20% or more are worth keeping a close eye on, especially as six of the seven trainers who did achieve this SR% were in profit also.

 

Finally a look at 3yo only handicaps. I am only including trainers that have saddled at least 40 runners:

 

3yo only handicaps

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Barron, T D

12

49

24.5

+£28.13

+57.4

Cumani, L M

10

47

21.3

+£5.98

+12.7

Dods, M

14

66

21.2

+£23.51

+35.6

Prescott, Sir Mark

11

52

21.2

-£11.44

-22.0

Haggas, W J

17

94

18.1

-£5.01

-5.3

Swinburn, W R

8

45

17.8

-£2.12

-4.7

Charlton, R

11

63

17.5

+£9.84

+15.6

Ryan, K A

20

115

17.4

+£20.63

+17.9

Elsworth, D R C

7

43

16.3

+£11.50

+26.7

Beckett, R M

11

68

16.2

+£7.58

+11.1

Fahey, R A

23

144

16.0

+£66.38

+46.1

Stoute, Sir Michael

12

82

14.6

-£24.78

-30.2

Dunlop, J L

13

89

14.6

+£4.13

+4.6

Jarvis, M A

7

50

14.0

-£17.21

-34.4

Meehan, B J

13

98

13.3

+£31.25

+31.9

Dunlop, E A L

8

65

12.3

-£1.50

-2.3

Best, J R

6

50

12.0

+£34.75

+69.5

Burke, K R

5

43

11.6

-£16.12

-37.5

Dascombe, Tom

5

43

11.6

-£16.29

-37.9

Balding, A M

12

105

11.4

-£33.57

-32.0

Bell, M L W

12

107

11.2

-£39.44

-36.9

Morrison, H

8

72

11.1

-£29.75

-41.3

Hannon, R

24

233

10.3

-£70.82

-30.4

Duffield, Mrs A

4

41

9.8

-£2.50

-6.1

Botti, M

4

42

9.5

-£1.50

-3.6

Channon, M R

17

186

9.1

+£18.25

+9.8

Lyons, G M

5

55

9.1

-£30.12

-54.8

Muir, W R

6

67

9.0

-£18.25

-27.2

Brittain, C E

4

45

8.9

-£1.50

-3.3

Midgley, P T

4

45

8.9

-£28.75

-63.9

Williams, S C

5

59

8.5

-£37.05

-62.8

Simcock, D M

5

60

8.3

-£34.12

-56.9

Millman, B R

4

50

8.0

-£29.25

-58.5

Evans, P D

6

76

7.9

-£6.50

-8.6

Tompkins, M H

4

53

7.5

+£27.00

+50.9

Johnston, M

20

271

7.4

-£122.48

-45.2

Cole, P F I

5

69

7.2

-£39.17

-56.8

Given, J G

4

57

7.0

-£31.50

-55.3

Hills, B W

7

100

7.0

-£40.00

-40.0

Easterby, T D

8

115

7.0

-£63.52

-55.2

Perrett, Mrs A J

5

72

6.9

-£41.50

-57.6

Gosden, J H M

6

88

6.8

-£56.12

-63.8

Hills, J W

4

59

6.8

-£30.50

-51.7

Knight, W J

3

45

6.7

-£26.75

-59.4

Kirk, S

4

61

6.6

-£15.50

-25.4

Cox, C G

4

68

5.9

-£32.50

-47.8

Houghton, Eve Johnson

2

40

5.0

-£26.67

-66.7

Moore, G L

2

44

4.5

-£35.50

-80.7

Halford, M

2

45

4.4

-£29.00

-64.4

Smart, B

1

46

2.2

-£42.50

-92.4

 

Again trainers with an SR% of 20% or more are worth close scrutiny.

 

Hopefully there is enough trainer data to help improve your chances of beating the bookies this month.

 








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