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horses that win on debut in a 2yo maiden

Research into horses that win on debut in a 2yo maiden
 
As the title suggests, this article looks into horses that make a winning debut in a 2yo maiden race. I have taken data from 2008 to 2011 for UK racing, and my findings look into not only their 2nd career start, but their third and 4th career starts as well.
 
Overall – firstly then the results for all 2yo maiden debut winners on their next three starts:
 
Career Start
Wins
Runs
SR%
Profit/loss
ROI%
2nd career start
165
738
22.4
-£105.16
-14.2
3rd career start
111
663
16.7
-£117.16
-17.7
4th career start
71
577
12.3
-£188.57
-32.7
 
As we can see, as each race passes the strike rate decreases and the returns get poorer. The second start figures are not too bad with a decent enough strike rate at 22%, but this still has produced losses of around 14p in the £. However, I would expect to be able to improve these figures over the course of my research.
 
 
 


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