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Grade One Hurdle Races



Grade 1 Hurdle Races

Grade 1 races are the highest class of National Hunt race and in terms of Grade 1 hurdle events there are currently 16 on the racing calendar. These are:

Race Name Racecourse Distance Date
Long Walk Hurdle Ascot 3m 1f 17/12/11
Christmas Hurdle Kempton 2m 26/12/11
Finale Juvenile Hurdle Chepstow 2m ½f 27/12/11
Challow Novices' Hurdle Newbury 2m 5f 31/12/11
Tolworth (32red) Hurdle Sandown 2m ½f 7/1/12
Supreme Novices' Hurdle Cheltenham 2m ½f 13/3/12
Champion Hurdle Cheltenham 2m ½f 13/3/12
Neptune Investment Management Hurdle Cheltenham 2m 5f 14/3/12
World Hurdle Cheltenham 3m 15/3/12
Triumph Hurdle Cheltenham 2m 1f 16/3/12
Spa Novices' Hurdle Cheltenham 3m 16/3/12
Liverpool Hurdle Aintree 3m ½f 12/4/12
Anniversary 4-Y-O Novices' Hurdle Aintree 2m ½f 12/4/12
Sefton Novices' Hurdle Aintree 3m ½f 13/4/12
Aintree Hurdle Aintree 2m 4f 14/4/12
Fighting Fifth Hurdle Newcastle 2m 24/11/12

 

As we can see of 16 races, 10 of them occur at the two main meetings of the year – the Cheltenham and Aintree festivals.

In this article I am going to see if we can find any patterns or trends in these races. This piece was collated before the first Grade 1 hurdle race in the 2011-2012 season (the Fighting Fifth), as I wanted to look at the previous 10 complete seasons.

Market factors (ALL RACES) – in the past 10 seasons, these races have seen the favourite win 38% of all races, with the top three in the betting providing 66% of the winners. To help give us some comparison here are some market stats for other types of race so we can compare:

Race type Favourite win% Top three in betting win%
All hurdle races 37% 70%
Novice hurdles 43% 76%
Handicap hurdles 28% 59%


As we can see the win percentage for favourites is just above the average figure, but for the top three in the betting it is slightly below the average. All in all, the market is a pretty good guide for Grade 1 hurdle races. However, there are some interesting figures when we split these Grade 1 events up:

 

This article continues with further in depth investigation into additional criteria such as course, position in betting, race distance and race type. Also included is a quick summary of the most important positives and negatives to look out for in any Grade 1 hurlde race.

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