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| Articles >> horse-racing >> Do sire stats offer a real edge
Do sire stats offer a real edge in 2yo maidens?
This week I am going to revisit an area which still is used sparsely by the majority of punters – sires. Sires are the fathers of the respective horses and many sires have a strong influence on their offspring. Why certain racehorses cost more money than others before they have even raced is almost exclusively down to their breeding and the sire is the strongest influence. Giving you a human example may help explain why some punters feel sires stats are very important. Picture a mythical 100m sprint race between the off spring of Linford Christie and a child of former Labour minister John Prescott. Without having seen either child run before, where would you put your pound at even money? Most likely you would asses that Linford Christie’s son had the stronger sire stat, and that is where your money was likely to go.
For this article I decided on the following method – firstly I looked at 2006 to 2008 data for 2yo maidens and noted the performances of all sires – their runs / wins / strike rate. The idea from there was simple – I would look at the early 2yo maiden races of 2009 and order the runners in each race by their respective sire strike rates for ’06 to ’08. The top rated horse would have the highest strike rate; the second rated would have the second highest strike rate, etc. Essentially this seemed a rather simplistic way of doing it, but I thought it should give me some idea whether further sire research was worthwhile.
Before I share with you those findings, let us look the sire stats for 2yo maidens from ’06 to ’08 as discussed above. Below there are two tables – firstly the top 20 sires in terms of strike rate; secondly the bottom 20 sires in terms of strike rate.
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