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Data For Flat Horse Racing Trainers


Extracts from new Ultimate Flat Trainer Report by David Renham
 
Flat racing spans the whole year these days, but the main turf season runs from March to November and this is the focus of a new piece of detailed research. ‘The Ultimate Flat trainer report’ spans the last six seasons and focuses on 121 of the top trainers in the country. This article gives you a snapshot of what you can expect to find. I have chosen three trainers; one with a poor record; one with a moderate record and one with a good record.
 
The stats fare based solely on turf racing and NO all weather stats have been added. As with any forms of racing there have been angles that have proved profitable in the past and the report highlights several of them. Of course there are many more negative stats than positive ones, and these are noted also. The intention was to compile a comprehensive report which would enable the everyday punter to see at a glance the strengths and weaknesses of trainers in turf flat racing. So here is a quick peek at what you might find:
 
 
A Berry
 
Variable
Wins
Runs
Strike Rate %
Profit
ROI %
All Races
86
1904
4.5
-£843.34
-44.3
2yo maidens
7
340
2.1
-£292.75
-86.1
2yo maiden debut
0
97
0.0
-£97.00
-100.0
2yo nurseries
6
92
6.5
-£23.50
-25.5
2yo Listed races
0
6
0.0
-£6.00
-100.0
2yo male runners
4
197
2.0
-£120.67
-61.3
2yo female runners
16
390
4.1
-£243.75
-62.5
3yo only maidens
0
39
0.0
-£39.00
-100.0
3yo only maidens debut
0
3
0.0
-£3.00
-100.0
3yo+/4yo+ maidens
3
76
4.0
-£36.00
-47.4
Favourites
6
29
20.7
-£5.25
-18.1
Top Three in the Betting
33
204
16.2
-£22.84
-11.2
SP 4/1 to 7/1
24
181
13.3
-£21.00
-11.6
LTO SP 25/1 or more; SP this time 6/1 or shorter
3
23
13.0
-£7.92
-34.4
Beaten Favourites
4
29
13.8
+£1.00
+3.5
Off track - 10 days or less
38
624
6.1
-£187.17
-30.0
Off track - 150 days or more
4
84
4.8
+£0.00
+0.0
Claiming jockeys
28
873
3.2
-£442.00
-50.6
Pro jockey taking over from claiming jockey
16
320
5.0
-£95.17
-29.7
Month - March/April
8
123
6.5
+£25.00
+20.3
Month - May/June
26
609
4.3
-£267.17
-43.9
Month - July/August
34
726
4.7
-£350.92
-48.3
Month - September-November
18
446
4.0
-£250.25
-56.1
Penalty carriers
1
28
3.6
-£23.50
-83.9
Won on all weather LTO
1
5
20.0
+£0.00
+0.0
Raced at Grade 1 LTO; not Grade 1 track this time
7
62
11.3
+£0.50
+0.8
 
Summary – Berry has performed really poorly since taking over his father Jack. Indeed, Jack’s strike rate was around 13.5% which shows how much the stable has struggled. All in all this is a stable to ignore from a betting perspective.
 
 
J R Best
 
Variable
Wins
Runs
Strike Rate %
Profit
ROI %
All Races
93
1016
9.2
+£101.57
+10.0
2yo maidens
12
196
6.1
-£155.68
-79.4
2yo maiden debut
2
76
2.6
-£68.00
-89.5
2yo nurseries
8
49
16.3
+£49.75
+101.5
2yo Group races
0
18
0.0
-£18.00
-100.0
2yo Listed races
1
15
6.7
+£86.00
+573.3
2yo male runners
19
229
8.3
+£14.45
+6.3
2yo female runners
5
77
6.5
-£55.38
-71.9
3yo only maidens
1
17
5.9
-£9.00
-52.9
3yo only maidens debut
0
5
0.0
-£5.00
-100.0
3yo+/4yo+ maidens
2
27
7.4
-£6.75
-25.0
Favourites
17
48
35.4
+£12.20
+25.4
Top Three in the Betting
40
225
17.8
-£40.42
-18.0
SP 4/1 to 7/1
19
164
11.6
-£48.00
-29.3
LTO SP 25/1 or more; SP this time 6/1 or shorter
7
24
29.2
+£1.13
+4.7
Beaten Favourites
1
37
2.7
-£34.25
-92.6
Off track - 10 days or less
26
249
10.4
-£18.17
-7.3
Off track - 150 days or more
4
83
4.8
+£27.00
+32.5
Claiming jockeys
20
228
8.8
+£16.38
+7.2
Pro jockey taking over from claiming jockey
10
105
9.5
-£21.00
-20.0
Month - March/April
8
55
14.6
+£32.00
+58.2
Month - May/June
25
334
7.5
+£26.38
+7.9
Month - July/August
40
397
10.1
+£99.57
+25.1
Month - September-November
20
230
8.7
-£56.38
-24.5
Penalty carriers
1
18
5.6
-£15.13
-84.0
Won on all weather LTO
1
19
5.3
+£2.00
+10.5
Wore headgear previous race; left off this time
0
17
0.0
-£17.00
-100.0
Raced at Grade 1 LTO; not Grade 1 track this time
16
129
12.4
+£32.13
+24.9
 
Summary – Best has had a few big priced winners in recent years, which is the reason he has actually made a blind profit with all runners. Hence, any runner of his at decent odds should be given due consideration. In terms of negatives he has a very poor record with beaten favourites and horses making their 2yo debut in a maiden.
 
 
 
 
 
 
W J Haggas
 
Variable
Wins
Runs
Strike Rate %
Profit
ROI %
All Races
268
1597
16.8
+£82.99
+5.2
2yo maidens
34
282
12.1
-£41.67
-14.8
2yo maiden debut
10
154
6.5
-£30.05
-19.5
2yo nurseries
11
44
25.0
+£18.09
+41.1
2yo Group races
2
23
8.7
-£13.50
-58.7
2yo Listed races
2
10
20.0
+£10.25
+102.5
2yo male runners
30
187
16.0
+£33.58
+18.0
2yo female runners
27
199
13.6
-£47.60
-23.9
3yo only maidens
25
104
24.0
+£14.85
+14.3
3yo only maidens debut
4
31
12.9
+£4.60
+14.8
3yo+/4yo+ maidens
25
110
22.7
+£5.60
+5.1
Favourites
114
313
36.4
+£1.13
+0.4
Top Three in the Betting
211
823
25.6
+£3.99
+0.5
SP 4/1 to 7/1
66
398
16.6
+£19.50
+4.9
LTO SP 25/1 or more; SP this time 6/1 or shorter
15
42
35.7
+£18.00
+42.9
Beaten Favourites
38
184
20.7
+£17.80
+9.7
Off track - 10 days or less
22
147
15.0
-£29.36
-20.0
Off track - 150 days or more
42
179
23.5
+£41.83
+23.4
Claiming jockeys
13
104
12.5
-£19.33
-18.6
Pro jockey taking over from claiming jockey
9
58
15.5
-£0.17
-0.3
Month - March/April
16
90
17.8
-£15.01
-16.7
Month - May/June
95
512
18.6
+£34.98
+6.8
Month - July/August
88
524
16.8
-£29.80
-5.7
Month - September-November
69
471
14.7
+£92.83
+19.7
Penalty carriers
4
13
30.8
+£7.17
+55.2
Won on all weather LTO
10
48
20.8
+£4.05
+8.4
Wore headgear previous race; left off this time
4
31
12.9
-£3.50
-11.3
Raced at Grade 1 LTO; not Grade 1 track this time
58
284
20.4
-£28.50
-10.0
 
Summary – Haggas has a very good overall strike rate and is a trainer to generally keep on your side. He has a solid record in both 3yo maidens and 3yo+/4yo+ maidens, and he is able to get his runners fit after a long break as the 150+ days off track stat shows. In addition, the market is a good guide to the chances of his runners.
 
 
More Trainers
 
The above is just a small snippet from a huge pdf research file we have covering the 121 top trainers.
We will give you a copy of this report ( The Ultimate Flat Trainer Report ) when you upgrade to a full membership at PunterProfits
 
 








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