Many so called “profitable” systems use course and distance winners as an integral part of their “successful” system. However, do previous C&D winners actually offer more of an edge than horses that have not won over C&D The following table looks at British courses with results taken from 1990 to 2005. It compares the overall strike rate of all horses, compared the strike rate for C&D winners. Please note that this is for flat racing only. I have not included figures for Southwell and Wolverhampton on turf due to limited data, and also have ignored Kempton on turf as they now only race on the all weather. The profit / loss figures are also shown :
Course
Overall Strike Rate
Profit / Loss
Strike rate for C&D winners
Profit / Loss
Ascot
8.4%
– 25.6 %
11.8 %
– 9.5 %
Ayr
10.1 %
– 23.0 %
10.0 %
– 24.5 %
Bath
9.3 %
– 30.3 %
11.8 %
– 29.1 %
Beverley
9.4 %
– 35.1 %
13.2 %
– 15.6 %
Brighton
10.3 %
– 27.7 %
11.6 %
– 30.0 %
Carlisle
9.9 %
– 30.5 %
11.0 %
– 35.9 %
Catterick
9.4 %
– 33.1 %
12.6 %
– 24.1 %
Chepstow
9.0 %
– 30.4 %
12.2 %
– 16.3 %
Chester
11.1 %
– 26.6 %
13.4 %
– 11.9 %
Doncaster
8.3 %
– 32.0 %
10.2 %
– 24.2 %
Epsom
10.2 %
– 26.7 %
12.0 %
– 13.0 %
Folkestone
9.6 %
– 32.2 %
13.8 %
– 24.1 %
Goodwood
9.5 %
– 25.8 %
10.3 %
– 28.2 %
Hamilton
10.7 %
– 26.2 %
11.5 %
– 32.3 %
Haydock
9.6 %
– 28.3 %
11.1 %
– 26.1 %
Leicester
8.1 %
– 34.9 %
10.2 %
– 31.7 %
Lingfield (aw)
9.7 %
– 29.6 %
13.5 %
– 22.0 %
Lingfield (turf)
9.1%
– 35.8 %
11.5 %
– 32.5 %
Musselburgh
10.7 %
– 24.8 %
12.4 %
– 24.3 %
Newbury
8.7 %
– 29.5 %
10.1 %
– 29.6 %
Newcastle
9.4 %
– 30.2 %
10.3 %
– 30.7 %
Newmarket (July)
9.7 %
– 28.5 %
12.5 %
– 19.9 %
Newmarket (Rowley)
7.7 %
– 33.0 %
11.9 %
– 15.4 %
Nottingham
8.0 %
– 36.3 %
9.5 %
– 26.9 %
Pontefract
8.7 %
– 32.3 %
10.9 %
– 20.2 %
Redcar
8.7 %
– 34.1 %
10.6 %
– 31.1 %
Ripon
8.8 %
– 38.4 %
10.5 %
– 27.1 %
Salisbury
8.8 %
– 33.2 %
10.1 %
– 13.2 %
Sandown
10.1 %
– 25.7 %
11.4 %
– 30.3 %
Southwell (aw)
8.9 %
– 32.7 %
12.4 %
– 24.0 %
Thirsk
9.1 %
– 35.9 %
9.7 %
– 33.3 %
Warwick
8.6 %
– 31.2 %
11.5 %
– 12.7 %
Windsor
7.8 %
– 38.6 %
12.6 %
– 17.7 %
Wolves (aw)
9.7 %
– 29.3 %
13.1 %
– 19.6 %
Yarmouth
10.4 %
– 24.7 %
12.8 %
– 24.4 %
York
8.7 %
– 29.8 %
8.9 %
– 29.1 %
From the table one can glean that it is an advantage at most courses to have won over the course and distance. Courses where C&D winners seem to do well in comparison to non C&D winners are Beverley, Chepstow, Chester, Epsom, Newmarket (Rowley), Salisbury, Warwick and Windsor. For the record, backing all C&D winners at Chester at trips of 10f or more would have yielded a profit of 49.2 points (18.7%).
