When the betting exchanges burst into our lives a few years ago, the art of backing horses suddenly became profitable for many punters who had previously struggled to make long term gains at the sport. However, the glory days for backers are fewer and farther between these days – it is still possible but it requires much more hard work and patience! As one opportunity begins to diminish though, another appears……. because if the value for punters is diminishing, then the value for layers must be increasing.

 

From this seed, I began to investigate a laying idea based on horses around the 10-1 mark. A few years ago, laying horses at medium to long prices was almost certainly a road to disaster, due to the fact that the prices were much bigger on Betfair than the equivalent starting price. However, more recently the gap between these prices has been closing and hence laying these horses start to become a serious option.

 

I needed a laying system that stayed consistent year in year out, that also had a safety net in terms of still being able to make a profit even if I had to lay the horses at prices that were going to be slightly higher than their eventual SP.

 

This article details the filters and rules I researched over many years at startign price and also details my real life betfair returns.