Each month I write an article connected with monthly trainer trends.
I have stated on numerous occasions before, trainers tend to be creatures of habit
and hence tend to peak at certain times of the year.
Likewise they seem to under-perform at other times of the year.
This article is based on Flat trainers in the month of August with data taken from 2004 to 2009.
All profit/losses are quoted to £1 level stakes.
This article is going to be slightly different as I am giving you the strike rates for each
trainer in every August since 2004. Hence you can see the differences in strike rates each
year which helps to explain why trainer trends/systems can fluctuate so much.
I have also given the overall strike rate for each trainer for ALL months so that can be used for
comparison purposes.
Let us begin by looking at trainer records in all races.
The trainers with the highest overall strike rates are listed at the top:
August strike rates by year (OSR = overall trainer strike rate for all months ‘04-‘09)
Trainer
OSR %
Aug '04 %
Aug '05 %
Aug '06 %
Aug '07 %
Aug '08 %
Aug '09 %
Saeed Bin Suroor
22.66
24.19
23.17
40
21.43
14.55
28.87
Sir Michael Stoute
21.78
38.33
15.52
13.19
27.27
23.53
18.03
Sir Mark Prescott
21.68
23.53
30.51
43.75
31.43
20
26.42
J Noseda
19.44
16.13
10
15.63
17.14
20.83
17.07
M A Jarvis
18.28
14.58
11.67
18.64
16.95
18.18
16.95
T G Dascombe
17.69
0 runners
0 runners
14.29
11.76
20.83
14.63
H R A Cecil
17.66
18.18
7.69
16.67
18.92
13.33
16.07
W J Haggas
17.64
13.89
6
13.64
12.73
21.95
18
J H M Gosden
17.58
13.04
28
17.39
16.42
24.56
16.36
M A Magnusson
16.13
40
16.67
16.67
0
25
0
M Johnston
15.91
13.41
18.26
15.17
19.58
9.52
14.69
A P O'Brien
15.72
0
25
19.05
13.64
66.67
0
L M Cumani
15.63
14.29
17.86
9.38
15.38
15.25
7.84
P W Chapple-Hyam
15.21
8.7
11.11
15.15
15.38
6.25
6.45
D E Cantillon
14.86
0
0
14.29
42.86
0
0
M P Tregoning
14.82
10.34
16.22
10.53
14.29
13.95
22.5
R Charlton
14.64
22.58
15
18.75
14.29
8.51
17.86
T D Walford
13.88
0 runners
0 runners
66.67
0
23.08
8.7
B W Hills
13.76
9.23
20
15.13
17.39
9.72
16.46
M L W Bell
13.68
16.67
13.95
14.75
10.87
9.86
7.02
G A Swinbank
13.65
15.38
8.82
23.91
15.52
19.61
15.38
J R Fanshawe
13.57
5.88
11.76
22.45
11.11
18.52
15.15
E J O'Neill
13.23
0
11.11
7.14
11.43
8.7
0
C F Wall
13.16
10.34
12.5
6.67
26.32
2.94
16
M Botti
13.02
0 runners
0 runners
30.77
10
13.79
12
T P Tate
12.95
15.38
10
46.15
15.38
4.55
6.06
Miss Tor Sturgis
12.84
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
P J Makin
12.70
9.52
0
14.29
13.64
20
25
Lady Herries
12.46
20
0
7.69
0
0
0
M Wigham
12.41
0
0
37.5
0
21.05
11.11
E A L Dunlop
12.36
17.54
12.77
7.41
13.79
5.36
9.3
K A Ryan
12.31
27.91
9.33
7.76
11.59
12.82
8.04
R Hannon
12.31
9.55
12.5
6.08
10.67
12.09
16.59
C G Cox
12.22
28.57
12.5
11.63
18
11.43
12.73
D J Coakley
12.16
11.11
12.5
11.11
0
8.33
0
E S McMahon
12.10
0 runners
5.13
8.33
8
12
14.81
R M Beckett
12.03
2.94
4.88
15.91
14
18
15.79
B J Meehan
11.98
12.73
8.47
15.29
11.9
16.67
11.25
H Morrison
11.98
2.5
5
13.79
16.33
6.82
24.56
T D Barron
11.96
8.47
8.45
9.88
2.9
15.56
16.22
W Jarvis
11.92
12
26.47
18.52
4
7.69
4.17
G L Moore
11.83
8.33
5.36
12.77
12
13.85
7.14
R A Fahey
11.77
20.18
11.82
10.61
9.86
7.87
10.32
J L Dunlop
11.67
13.58
16.44
14.47
11.94
6.25
18.46
W J Knight
11.59
0 runners
0 runners
8.33
8.33
4
4.76
J R Boyle
11.53
0
13.33
16
21.21
9.38
11.32
H Candy
11.49
16.13
10.53
15.91
9.68
12.12
6.45
D M Simcock
11.49
16.67
11.76
4.35
16.67
12.5
13.04
A King
11.45
4.76
0 runners
15.38
13.04
21.05
0
G A Butler
11.45
14.58
12.82
3.23
13.79
8.33
17.39
J A Osborne
11.43
5.36
8.93
5.13
14.04
6.25
0
A E Price
11.34
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
40
0
P F I Cole
11.31
11.11
7.27
14.89
14.63
10
4.08
D R C Elsworth
11.25
9.09
13.51
10.53
8.51
17.65
4.76
Mrs J Chapple-Hyam
11.15
0 runners
0 runners
20
21.05
11.54
6.67
A B Coogan
10.96
0
25
0
20
0
20
S C Williams
10.94
31.25
12.82
16
6.25
17.5
6.06
P R Webber
10.87
0
0
0
0
0
0
M Dods
10.86
9.68
6
10.34
8.2
11.48
11.59
E F Vaughan
10.82
31.58
6.67
0
33.33
4.76
18.18
S Curran
10.81
0 runners
0 runners
0
10
0
7.14
A M Balding
10.79
9.59
9.38
12.5
7.02
14.06
16.39
P W D'Arcy
10.77
6.25
6.67
14.29
4.76
20
11.11
R T Phillips
10.67
0
0
37.5
0
40
0
J Mackie
10.62
7.69
13.33
11.11
0
0
20
W R Swinburn
10.60
0 runners
12.31
6.98
6.67
17.65
12
D Nicholls
10.58
10.13
13.85
13.04
12.94
15.15
14.61
Mrs A J Perrett
10.32
20.55
2.67
4.92
3.57
2.56
7.69
R J Price
10.28
0
8.33
16.67
8
23.08
0
B Smart
10.24
11.11
4.88
4.44
7.41
6.25
6.15
M R Channon
10.23
8.23
8.11
12.43
8.85
12.34
10.69
P D Cundell
10.14
0
0
41.67
0
0
33.33
B R Johnson
10.13
0
100
0
30
16.67
20
D W P Arbuthnot
10.10
0
15.38
5.88
6.67
6.67
0
Mrs A Duffield
10.10
5.88
10
11.43
11.9
5
9.76
Ian Williams
10.02
22.22
10
0
0
3.03
6.67
M Quinn
10.01
0
44.44
18.75
0
7.69
7.14
M G Rimell
10.00
0 runners
0 runners
100
0
0
0
P J Hobbs
10.00
0
0
100
0
0
50
J L Spearing
9.99
4.35
13.79
11.43
13.64
16.67
20
B Ellison
9.98
21.05
16
17.95
2.86
0
12.2
Mrs P Sly
9.87
0
16.67
0
11.11
0
20
Pat Eddery
9.81
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
14.81
9.09
S Kirk
9.79
10.42
8.93
17.95
11.11
7.27
7.84
A J Mccabe
9.61
0 runners
0 runners
0
4.17
8.82
0
John Berry
9.58
0
7.69
6.67
12.5
0
25
P D Evans
9.57
10.23
2.86
11.11
1.49
8.64
12.38
P W Hiatt
9.52
15.38
0
0
5
4.55
12.5
Miss S West
9.49
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
20
33.33
0
Stef Liddiard
9.48
0 runners
5.56
4.76
11.11
0
16.67
M S Saunders
9.44
0
14.29
11.76
7.14
18.75
0
Miss Gay Kelleway
9.43
0
8.82
14.81
0
8.7
3.85
J R Best
9.40
17.95
14.63
9.3
5.26
6
2.5
C E Brittain
9.37
6.82
4.41
4.84
16
5.45
9.3
Andrew Turnell
9.31
20
20
25
25
0
9.09
Mrs L Stubbs
9.29
22.22
8.33
20
21.43
0
27.78
Dr J D Scargill
9.29
0
0
0
33.33
0
0
J D Bethell
9.29
26.67
15.63
15.15
5.71
20
3.85
J S Moore
9.21
13.16
18.75
9.52
10.61
8
5.45
B R Millman
9.15
15.69
6.06
5.26
5.45
8.33
2.22
M H Tompkins
9.13
8.89
9.43
11.11
11.48
11.9
11.29
J Pearce
9.06
11.11
0
9.09
3.85
8.33
11.11
J J Quinn
9.02
6.25
17.5
11.48
1.96
5.66
12.68
A Dickman
9.01
0
25
7.14
10
10
28.57
J S Goldie
9.01
5.56
9.3
7.32
15.15
13.79
5.26
J Jay
8.96
27.27
13.33
0
0
0
0
R A Harris
8.94
0 runners
5.56
2.38
9.09
7.14
2.33
A B Haynes
8.91
0 runners
0
0
0
15.38
7.14
K G Reveley
8.91
0
7.41
0
11.11
66.67
0
J A R Toller
8.86
5.26
15.15
5.56
27.27
10
0
J Howard Johnson
8.85
7.69
3.45
2.86
9.09
12.5
8.33
E G Bevan
8.81
0
0
0 runners
0
14.29
0
W R Muir
8.79
7.5
17.78
4.69
8.62
8.7
20.93
P Winkworth
8.74
0
20
6.25
11.54
10.81
12.5
G A Harker
8.70
0
0
0
0
0
11.11
D Carroll
8.69
3.13
0
2.7
7.14
3.33
0
N Wilson
8.66
14.29
7.14
0
8
11.11
0
R A Farrant
8.62
0 runners
0
0
0
0
0
W S Kittow
8.62
11.11
20
0
13.33
0
3.45
C R Egerton
8.61
0
14.29
14.29
0
0
0
E J Alston
8.61
0
4.17
15.91
7.27
11.43
7.14
W J H Ratcliffe
8.56
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
10.53
25
Lucinda Featherstone
8.54
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
33.33
0
W J Musson
8.48
3.33
8.7
3.13
11.54
4.17
11.76
M G Quinlan
8.47
14.29
6.67
7.41
3.7
7.14
11.11
R Hollinshead
8.43
3.57
8.57
0
8.82
4
9.09
N P Littmoden
8.35
10.91
0
6
2.63
6.25
31.58
J G Given
8.34
4.29
5.66
11.11
5.56
11.76
4.35
A C Whillans
8.33
0
20
0
0
0
33.33
Bob Jones
8.33
0
0
0
0
100
0
R A Teal
8.33
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
20
0
5.56
P R Chamings
8.30
3.7
7.69
18.18
11.11
10.53
6.67
H J Collingridge
8.28
10
5
9.09
0
11.11
7.14
M Murphy
8.26
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
20
0
28.57
J W Hills
8.20
14.71
14.29
10.42
5.26
4.26
9.76
S R Bowring
8.18
0
0
0
0
9.09
9.09
J E Long
8.17
0 runners
11.11
50
25
0
0
W G M Turner
8.17
4.17
4
0
6.06
0
0
P J McBride
8.16
0
0
0
0
0
6.25
Jamie Poulton
8.15
7.69
0
5.56
9.09
12.5
0
G M Moore
8.14
0
10.53
18.52
0
7.69
9.09
Miss J A Camacho
8.10
0
44.44
15.79
0
20
9.52
D K Ivory
8.09
10.53
0
20
0
5.26
11.11
R M H Cowell
8.07
0
15.79
18.75
11.76
16.67
16.67
John A Harris
8.05
0
0
0
7.14
8.7
4.55
P J O'gorman
8.05
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
M J Attwater
8.04
0
10.53
0
0
0
0
M Salaman
8.02
0
0
0
11.11
0
14.29
C R Dore
7.99
0
0
0
30.43
8.33
0
J Akehurst
7.98
3.33
10.34
14.81
8.33
9.09
7.69
P C Haslam
7.94
7.32
0
0
7.69
0
0
R F Fisher
7.91
6.67
4.76
25
12.5
0
0
Miss J Feilden
7.88
10
11.11
5.56
9.09
15.79
0
M Todhunter
7.87
0
0
25
0
0
100
R M Whitaker
7.86
16.67
9.09
2.27
11.63
8.57
6.67
P Howling
7.85
0
3.85
3.23
8.11
4
5.71
G G Margarson
7.85
0
0
6.45
7.14
4.55
6.25
T D Easterby
7.81
9.78
6.96
4.03
10.08
11.27
11
S Gollings
7.76
0
14.29
0
0
25
0
W M Brisbourne
7.71
9.59
7.14
6.41
11.36
7.69
6
D Shaw
7.64
0
2.63
0
3.85
3.7
0
R J Hodges
7.63
11.76
0
0
7.14
21.74
5.26
S Woodman
7.58
0
0
33.33
50
0
50
A Bailey
7.57
0
16.67
6.67
0
12.5
0
Eve Johnson Houghton
7.56
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
12.5
2.38
5.41
R Allan
7.53
0
10
0
0
50
0
R Bastiman
7.51
0
15
22.22
0
10
13.33
Jedd O'Keeffe
7.44
17.65
6.25
6.67
5
14.29
0
M W Easterby
7.44
9.09
5.17
9.23
7.35
7.55
4.26
A W Carroll
7.39
5.88
0
12.5
3.64
0
4.17
Paul Green
7.39
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
10
3.13
M D I Usher
7.36
0
20.59
4.35
0
6.67
5.26
J J Lambe
7.35
0 runners
50
0 runners
0
0
0
T J Fitzgerald
7.35
0
25
0
0
0
0
T T Clement
7.26
0
0
0
0
0
12.5
A P Jarvis
7.24
7.14
12.5
0
8.51
9.38
8.33
R Ingram
7.15
11.11
13.33
0
8.33
0
5.88
Mrs L J Mongan
7.14
0 runners
0
8.33
0
0
0
A G Newcombe
7.06
13.33
8.33
20
14.29
0
0
T Keddy
7.03
0
9.09
10
0
5.88
0
D J S Ffrench Davis
6.98
0
0
0
5
0
0
R E Peacock
6.98
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
66.67
0
J M P Eustace
6.95
5
9.09
13.04
0
0
0
R Johnson
6.94
0 runners
11.11
0
22.22
8.33
0
R W Price
6.92
0 runners
0
50
0
10
0
B Gubby
6.88
0
0
0
0
50
25
P D Niven
6.84
0
0
50
0
42.86
11.11
J Balding
6.82
7.69
12.9
0
0
0
0
G R Oldroyd
6.82
0 runners
0 runners
0
3.85
6.25
7.69
I A Wood
6.82
8.33
2.5
5.13
3.33
9.76
5
Mrs G S Rees
6.82
0
0
0
8.7
10
0
P T Midgley
6.77
0
8
4
9.62
12.82
12.68
J Gallagher
6.75
0
14.29
20
5.26
14.29
0
B G Powell
6.71
7.69
0
7.14
3.23
3.85
5.88
J R Holt
6.63
0 runners
0
0
0
0
20
N Bycroft
6.59
11.11
4
8.57
0
30.77
7.41
J R Jenkins
6.56
11.43
8.33
5.88
0
0
0
J T Stimpson
6.47
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
25
0
P M Phelan
6.47
0
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
12.5
Miss L A Perratt
6.46
6.25
4.76
4.17
8.11
3.64
13.04
R Brotherton
6.46
20
0
0
0
0
25
Patrick Morris
6.41
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
9.09
S Dow
6.40
0
5.56
0
4.55
0
26.32
H J L Dunlop
6.40
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
4.17
14.81
11.11
G Woodward
6.37
0 runners
0
9.09
0
0
0
Mrs C A Dunnett
6.35
4.35
5.26
7.14
6.67
9.09
4.76
B P J Baugh
6.31
0
0
16.67
4.55
14.29
0
D Morris
6.25
0
0
0
0
0
0
K A Morgan
6.18
0
0
0 runners
16.67
0
33.33
A D Brown
6.17
0 runners
0
46.15
0
20
0
E W Tuer
6.16
0
0
0
33.33
0
20
J G Portman
6.16
4.55
5.56
17.39
8.7
11.11
2.5
J F Coupland
6.15
0
20
14.29
14.29
0
0
I W McInnes
6.15
6.25
0
7.32
10.34
6.45
3.23
D Haydn Jones
6.11
0
0
0
0
0
11.11
Karen George
6.08
0
0
0
0
0
12.5
B Palling
6.07
11.11
8.57
4.55
25
9.09
5.56
A J Lidderdale
6.02
0
0
0
0
0
33.33
Mrs A L M King
5.95
0
6.67
7.14
6.25
0
0
Mrs N Smith
5.88
0 runners
0
25
0
0
0
Peter Grayson
5.80
0 runners
3.03
7.41
4
3.85
5.88
M Brittain
5.76
6.25
0
8.33
2.44
14.71
4.88
David Pinder
5.76
0 runners
0
0
0
0
0
B J Llewellyn
5.75
16.67
0
0
0
33.33
0
Miss T Spearing
5.71
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
J R Weymes
5.71
4.76
12.9
5.13
8.33
5
0
J A Geake
5.71
0 runners
0
0
11.11
13.33
0
C W Fairhurst
5.61
0
22.22
6.25
14.29
0
9.09
J M Bradley
5.59
6.94
6.76
5.5
2.83
0
14.93
M R Hoad
5.58
0 runners
0
0 runners
0
0
0
P Monteith
5.57
0
0
10
13.33
0
5
Jennie Candlish
5.56
0 runners
0
0
27.27
0
0
A M Hales
5.54
0
0
0
28.57
0
0
T J Etherington
5.53
0
6.67
0
0
0
0
R C Guest
5.52
0
9.09
0
4.35
0
6.67
Mrs S Lamyman
5.52
6.67
0
11.11
0
0
0
M A Barnes
5.51
0 runners
0 runners
14.29
14.29
0
33.33
M Blanshard
5.51
7.5
7.14
4
6.67
8.82
0
N Tinkler
5.51
9.09
2.13
10.64
0
0
8.33
M R Bosley
5.48
14.29
0
0
0
16.67
0
J S Wainwright
5.32
5.71
3.33
0
5.26
0
0
M Wellings
5.30
0
0
0
0
0
25
E A Wheeler
5.30
0
0
0
0
50
0
B Mactaggart
5.26
0 runners
0
0
0
0
0
Miss D Mountain
5.23
11.11
0
0
0
0
0
Jean-Rene Auvray
5.22
0
0
0
0
0
0
R E Barr
5.16
3.85
5
10.53
10.34
0
13.64
J W Unett
5.10
0
0
0
0
0
0
J G M O'Shea
5.09
0
5
0
0
0
0
G Prodromou
5.05
0
0 runners
0
0
15.38
0
H J Evans
4.94
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
T E Powell
4.94
0
50
0
0
0
0
M F Harris
4.90
0
0
8.33
0
0
0
S Lycett
4.88
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
0
Miss M E Rowland
4.81
0
0 runners
25
0
0
0
C Smith
4.80
0
0
0 runners
0
0
0
J C Fox
4.76
0
50
14.29
0
0
0
J Ryan
4.74
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
30.77
W K Goldsworthy
4.69
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
0
D G Bridgwater
4.61
0
9.09
0
0
0
0
James Moffatt
4.58
8.33
0
0
0
0
0
J O'Reilly
4.55
0
0
0
3.7
0
0
Miss S E Hall
4.55
0
0
0
0
0
0
Mrs L C Jewell
4.55
0
0 runners
0
12.5
0
0
Miss Z C Davison
4.49
0
0
0
14.29
0
0
Miss E C Lavelle
4.44
0
0
0
0
0
0
Mrs P N Dutfield
4.43
3.45
21.05
0
0
16.67
0
F Jordan
4.40
0
0
0
0
0
0
G C Bravery
4.33
0
9.09
0
0
0
0
A Berry
4.31
11.11
1.61
4.76
4.92
6.78
3.33
J J Bridger
4.30
3.33
17.24
7.69
3.23
6.67
10
L A Dace
4.29
0
33.33
0
0
50
0
Miss Tracy Waggott
4.27
0 runners
0
11.11
7.69
0
16.67
Miss J R Tooth
4.26
0 runners
0
6.25
0
0
0
D W Thompson
4.25
0
8.33
0
0
33.33
0
H S Howe
4.25
0
11.11
0
16.67
0
0
B De Haan
4.17
16.67
50
0 runners
0
0
0
C W Thornton
4.11
0
0
33.33
7.14
16.67
0
C J Teague
4.09
100
0
0
0
0
12.5
G P Enright
4.08
0
0
50
0
0
0
J R Norton
4.06
0
0
0
0
0
0
T D McCarthy
3.99
0
0
7.14
0
0
0
G A Ham
3.98
0
0
0
0
0
0
Karen McLintock
3.96
0 runners
9.09
9.09
0
0
0
E J Creighton
3.94
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
25
5.56
H J Manners
3.88
0
0
0
0
14.29
0
B I Case
3.80
0
0
0
0
0
0
M Mullineaux
3.66
0
0
0
20
3.7
0
L R James
3.60
0
0
0
0
0
0
M C Chapman
3.59
0
5.26
0
0
0
0
C Roberts
3.57
0
0 runners
0
0
0
33.33
Gary Moss
3.23
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
14.29
9.09
20
W Storey
3.14
0
0
0
16.67
0
0
Mrs N S Evans
3.13
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
0
M Madgwick
3.06
0
0
0
0
0
0
Miss A Stokell
3.03
0
0
14.29
0
0
0
S Hall
2.91
0 runners
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
Mrs Dianne Sayer
2.86
0 runners
0
0
0
0
0
J W Mullins
2.78
0
0
0 runners
0
0
0
T A K Cuthbert
2.78
0
0
0 runners
0
0
0
Mrs K Walton
2.70
0
0
0
0
0
16.67
M E Sowersby
2.68
0
0
0
0
0
0
P Butler
2.38
0
0
0
0
0
0
B W Duke
2.17
0
0
0
0
20
0
Mrs L Williamson
2.04
0 runners
0
16.67
0
0
0
C Grant
1.96
0
0 runners
0
0
20
0
T Wall
1.87
0
0
0
0
0
0
C Drew
1.61
0 runners
0
0
0
0
0
Miss Lucinda V Russell
1.41
0 runners
0 runners
0
0
0
0
A Crook
0.85
0
0
0
0
0
0
D A Nolan
0.23
0
0
0
0
0
0
With over 300 trainers in the table there is plenty of data to get your teeth into.
Hopefully though, the table will clearly demonstrate that even the best trainers find
it difficult to perform to the same level every August.
Take Saeed Bin Suroor – in 2006 he had an exceptional August with 4 out of every
10 runners winning (SR 40%); two years later though in 2008 this drop to 14.55%.
