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April Trainers 2013


 

April Trainers 2013 by David Renham

 

Each month on Punter Profits I have a look at past trainer monthly data. We come to April and it is now that the flat season springs into life and hence this article focuses on trainers 'on the level'. I have taken data from the last five Aprils (2008 to 2012) and I have included Irish results as well as UK. All profits/losses have been calculated to SP.

 

All races - a look at trainer performance in every type of contest to begin with focusing on the better performing ones (SR 15%+):

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Bailey, A

17

70

24.3

+£25.91

+37.0

Burke, Mrs K

12

51

23.5

+£86.28

+169.2

Fanshawe, J R

17

73

23.3

+£29.46

+40.4

Stack, T

21

92

22.8

+£13.22

+14.4

Gosden, J H M

61

284

21.5

-£3.98

-1.4

Al Zarooni, Mahmood

12

58

20.7

+£7.28

+12.6

Harrington, Mrs John

16

78

20.5

+£18.34

+23.5

Stoute, Sir Michael

33

161

20.5

-£34.21

-21.2

Oxx, John M

25

126

19.8

-£22.46

-17.8

Cumani, L M

13

66

19.7

-£15.55

-23.6

Turner, W G M

16

82

19.5

+£17.83

+21.7

Perrett, Mrs A J

13

67

19.4

+£1.31

+2.0

Bowring, S R

10

53

18.9

+£37.91

+71.5

Barron, T D

29

155

18.7

+£91.75

+59.2

Cecil, H R A

29

157

18.5

-£30.67

-19.5

Noseda, J

18

98

18.4

-£32.13

-32.8

Botti, M

23

126

18.3

-£20.22

-16.0

O'Brien, A P

36

198

18.2

-£65.48

-33.1

Weld, D K

38

212

17.9

-£46.33

-21.9

Chapple-Hyam, P

16

91

17.6

-£29.17

-32.1

Prendergast, K

28

160

17.5

-£8.61

-5.4

Haggas, W J

18

103

17.5

-£19.92

-19.3

Fahey, R A

78

452

17.3

+£48.51

+10.7

Hannon, R

80

471

17.0

-£36.19

-7.7

Swinburn, W R

23

138

16.7

-£17.94

-13.0

Bell, M L W

36

221

16.3

-£39.94

-18.1

Knight, W J

11

68

16.2

-£1.92

-2.8

Balding, A M

33

208

15.9

+£6.18

+3.0

Dunlop, E A L

23

145

15.9

-£32.56

-22.5

Johnston, M

80

513

15.6

-£143.19

-27.9

Butler, G A

8

53

15.1

+£3.13

+5.9

Best, J R

14

93

15.1

+£46.26

+49.7

Beckett, R M

18

120

15.0

+£1.15

+1.0

 

Bailey, Burke, Fanshawe and Stack are all trainers to note, but John Gosden's record is very solid considering the number of runners he has saddled. Here are some areas worth noting for Gosden's runners in April:

 

Variable

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Handicap races

19

69

27.5

+£32.99

+47.8

Course Newmarket

10

49

20.4

+£30.23

+61.7

Age - 4 and older

16

56

28.6

+£33.77

+60.3

Male runners

45

202

22.3

+£21.92

+10.9

Jockey - J Fortune

17

64

26.6

+£19.47

+30.4

Price LTO 6/1 or less

41

140

29.3

+£32.08

+22.9

Position LTO - 1st

18

70

25.7

+£13.71

+19.6

Position LTO - 2nd

13

31

41.9

+£16.15

+52.1

 

As we can see there have been several profitable angles for Gosden so these are all worth noting this April.

 

Onto the trainers now who have struggled in April:

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Williams, S C

4

97

4.1

-£62.50

-64.4

Ivory, D K

4

98

4.1

-£52.62

-53.7

McInnes, I W

5

123

4.1

-£35.50

-28.9

Baugh, B P J

3

75

4.0

-£43.50

-58.0

Moore, G M

2

55

3.6

-£33.50

-60.9

Perratt, Miss L A

2

57

3.5

-£46.50

-81.6

Bridger, J J

2

60

3.3

-£23.00

-38.3

Jarvis, A P

3

90

3.3

-£47.00

-52.2

Brisbourne, W M

4

128

3.1

-£91.50

-71.5

Condon, K J

2

66

3.0

-£55.00

-83.3

McGuinness, Adrian

2

69

2.9

-£51.00

-73.9

Whitaker, R M

2

74

2.7

-£25.00

-33.8

Attwater, M J

2

78

2.6

-£31.50

-40.4

Dunnett, Mrs C A

2

82

2.4

-£68.00

-82.9

Loughnane, Daniel Mark

1

51

2.0

-£47.25

-92.6

Wood, I A

1

53

1.9

-£51.09

-96.4

Berry, A

1

60

1.7

-£52.00

-86.7

Morgan, Ms Joanna

1

75

1.3

-£66.50

-88.7

Murphy, John Joseph

1

76

1.3

-£50.00

-65.8

Duffield, Mrs A

0

89

0.0

-£89.00

-100.0

Grassick, M J

0

53

0.0

-£53.00

-100.0

Grayson, Peter

0

58

0.0

-£58.00

-100.0

Rogers, H

0

78

0.0

-£78.00

-100.0

 

All these trainers look worth swerving this month.

 

Onto 3yo only handicaps now:

 

3yo handicaps (25 runs minimum)

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

Barron, T D

8

26

30.8

+£25.12

+96.6

Gosden, J H M

12

40

30.0

+£15.41

+38.5

Boyle, J R

6

26

23.1

+£38.00

+146.2

Best, J R

6

27

22.2

+£53.63

+198.6

Swinburn, W R

7

32

21.9

+£9.58

+29.9

Botti, M

10

47

21.3

-£3.34

-7.1

Dunlop, E A L

8

38

21.1

+£5.88

+15.5

Kirk, S

9

44

20.5

+£15.00

+34.1

Johnston, M

42

208

20.2

+£6.24

+3.0

Bolger, J S

5

27

18.5

+£4.00

+14.8

Stoute, Sir Michael

5

27

18.5

-£3.25

-12.0

Bell, M L W

11

63

17.5

+£13.38

+21.2

Morrison, H

5

31

16.1

+£0.38

+1.2

Hannon, R

18

121

14.9

+£3.29

+2.7

Lyons, G M

5

34

14.7

+£16.83

+49.5

Fahey, R A

14

98

14.3

-£26.79

-27.3

McCabe, A J

6

42

14.3

+£26.00

+61.9

Balding, A M

6

45

13.3

+£8.13

+18.1

Deegan, P D

4

30

13.3

+£2.00

+6.7

Dods, M

4

33

12.1

-£10.25

-31.1

Dunlop, H J L

3

25

12.0

+£4.00

+16.0

Cox, C G

4

34

11.8

-£19.25

-56.6

Ryan, K A

10

86

11.6

-£8.05

-9.4

Easterby, M W

3

26

11.5

+£3.50

+13.5

Muir, W R

4

36

11.1

+£8.50

+23.6

Brittain, C E

3

29

10.3

-£8.50

-29.3

Dunlop, J L

5

51

9.8

-£6.00

-11.8

Smart, B

4

46

8.7

-£27.00

-58.7

Harris, R A

2

25

8.0

-£12.00

-48.0

Meehan, B J

2

25

8.0

-£5.50

-22.0

Beckett, R M

2

27

7.4

-£14.50

-53.7

Easterby, T D

6

87

6.9

-£53.37

-61.3

Jarvis, A P

2

30

6.7

-£2.00

-6.7

Nicholls, D

3

47

6.4

-£11.25

-23.9

Channon, M R

6

113

5.3

-£57.79

-51.1

Moore, J S

1

25

4.0

-£22.75

-91.0

Evans, P D

2

54

3.7

-£45.75

-84.7

Burke, K R

1

28

3.6

-£18.00

-64.3

Portman, J G

1

30

3.3

-£18.00

-60.0

Cole, P F I

1

36

2.8

-£32.50

-90.3

Midgley, P T

1

37

2.7

-£33.50

-90.5

Dascombe, Tom

0

34

0.0

-£34.00

-100.0

 

Another positive angle for Gosden, with David Barron's record is also excellent. Mark Johnston has sent out over 200 runners in 3yo handicaps in 5 years and his runners should be noted when appearing at Beverley and Wolverhampton. Johnston also has a good record with LTO winners - 24 wins from 83 (SR 28.9%) for a profit of £14.14 (ROI +17%).

 

Finally a look at 2yo maidens - limited data but worth a look nonetheless.

 

2yo maidens (20 runs minimum)

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

SR%

Profit/loss

ROI%

O'Brien, A P

7

21

33.3

+£8.32

+39.6

Hannon, R

20

67

29.9

+£4.12

+6.1

Fahey, R A

9

32

28.1

+£9.58

+29.9

Prendergast, K

4

20

20.0

-£7.43

-37.2

Turner, W G M

5

27

18.5

-£5.75

-21.3

Bolger, J S

5

28

17.9

+£0.00

+0.0

Ryan, K A

7

43

16.3

-£2.10

-4.9

Channon, M R

11

76

14.5

-£30.08

-39.6

McCabe, A J

3

23

13.0

+£12.63

+54.9

Evans, P D

10

87

11.5

-£12.50

-14.4

Dascombe, Tom

5

45

11.1

-£23.34

-51.9

Easterby, T D

6

55

10.9

-£22.34

-40.6

Lyons, G M

2

29

6.9

-£13.12

-45.2

Midgley, P T

2

32

6.3

-£10.50

-32.8

Moore, J S

1

23

4.3

-£17.50

-76.1

 

O'Brien, Hannon and Fahey are three trainers to keep a close eye on in 2yo maidens this month.

 

Hopefully there is enough trainer data to help improve your chances of beating the bookies this month.

 








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