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Alan King - a trainer to follow
Alan King – a trainer to follow in 2008/09? By David Renham
Alan King is a trainer that has a good overall record, but in my opinion is still a slightly underrated trainer. This article will hopefully point you in the right direction in terms of bets that offer value this season, and those that do not. Essentially this is a facts and figures and article and hence there is limited analysis as I want to cram in as much useful information as possible. The data is taken from January 1st 2000 until 5th October 2008. All profits and losses are calculated to £1 level stakes. ROI – stands for return on investment.
All Races – overall record
A loss of just 5% on all runners is a good starting point! This should mean there are several areas where we can profit from.
All races – positive courses (10 or more wins; 20%+ profit)
All races – negative courses (40 or more runs; strike rate less than 10%)
Let us look now at some more positive angles for all races:
Now let us move on to more specific race types. I have chosen two race types where he has shown an overall profit since the year 2000 – handicap chases and non handicap novice hurdles:
Handicap chases – overall record
Impressive to make a blind profit in handicap chases – let us now look at a course breakdown with positive and negative courses highlighted:
Handicap chases – positive courses (4 or more wins; 35%+ profit)
Handicap chases – negative courses (15 runs+; strike rate less than 10%; losses 35% or more)
Let us look at other positive pointers in handicap chases:
Let us now move on to novice hurdles (non handicaps).
Novice hurdles (non handicaps) – overall record
Let us now look at a course breakdown with positive and negative courses highlighted:
Novice hurdles (non handicaps) – positive courses (5 or more wins; strike rate 25% +; 35%+ profit)
Novice hurdles (non handicaps) – negative courses (30 runs+; losses 40%+)
Finally as I am running out of space for this piece, let us look at some other positives from novice hurdles:
There have been plenty of stats to get your teeth into and hopefully selective following of trainer Alan King can reap big dividends this season!
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