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A Look At Racehorse Owner Khalid Abdulla


 

A Look At Racehorse Owner Khalid Abdulla

 

This week I am going to look at one particular owner, Khalid Abdulla, to see if we can glean when and when not to back his runners. Using owner stats as a winner finding tool is underrated and there definitely is value in researching owner statistics. The data for the article is taken from British races from 1st January 2005 to July 31st 2009; SR stands for strike rate; ROI for return on investment. All profits and losses are calculated to £1 level stakes. For the record during the period of study, he has amassed nearly £5,000,000 in prize money. That averages out at nearly £4,000 per race!

 

Let us firstly look at his record in all races:

 

Wins

Runs

Strike Rate

Profit

ROI

277

1301

21.3%

+£77.14

+5.9%

 

A strike rate of over 1 win in 5 is impressive enough, but he has made a blind profit at SP which is quite remarkable. Let us break this down by year:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

60

271

22.1%

+£37.55

+13.9%

2006

49

237

20.7%

+£53.51

+22.6%

2007

67

308

21.8%

-£24.46

-7.9%

2008

69

322

21.4%

+£20.28

+6.3%

2009

32

163

19.6%

-£9.74

-6.0%

 

2009 has been a little below par but it still makes good reading. Most owners would give their right arm for figures like that! Let us move onto time of year. With the season moving into Autumn I am going to concentrate on his record in the Autumn:

 

Month

Wins

Runs

Strike Rate

Profit

ROI

September

35

180

19.4%

-£2.87

-1.6%

October

37

171

21.6%

+£53.06

+31.0%

November

6

29

20.7%

+£11.80

+40.7%

 

These figures look promising for any readers thinking about backing his runners in the next three months. The consistency in terms of strike rate is the impressive part for me. There are two areas worth noting when looking at his record from October to November – firstly horses returning to the track after a break of 10 weeks or more have had an SR of 23% for profits of 102%, while horses making their debut have won 16 of their 86 starts (SR 18.6%) for a profit of £35.58 (ROI +41.4%).

 

Moving on to courses, there are several courses where Abdulla’s runners have a good strike rate. Indeed, most of them also have yielded decent profits:

 

Course

Wins

Runs

Strike Rate

Profit

ROI

Haydock

11

31

35.5%

+£18.35

+59.2%

Great Leighs

7

20

35.0%

+£28.44

+142.2%

Nottingham

15

44

34.1%

+£27.82

+63.2%

Kempton

21

65

32.3%

+£31.90

+49.1%

Leicester

12

41

29.3%

-£4.48

-10.9%

Sandown

18

65

27.7%

+£20.24

+31.1%

Warwick

7

26

26.9%

+£41.85

+161.0%

 

For the record, there is one course where you may want to avoid backing his runners and that is at York. He has saddled just 6 winners from 60 runners (SR 10%) for a loss of £40.64 (ROI -67.7%).

In terms of class, Abdulla has not really had the success in Group races that he would have hoped. However, his record in class 1 to 3 events is excellent as the table indicates:

 

Class

Wins

Runs

Strike Rate

Profit

ROI

Group Races

19

153

12.4%

-£70.28

-45.9%

1-3

85

402

21.1%

+£100.84

+25.1%

4-5

167

718

23.3%

+£46.43

+6.5%

6-7

6

28

21.4%

+£0.15

+0.5%

 

Moving on we can see how his runners have performed at different distances:

 

Distance

Wins

Runs

Strike Rate

Profit

ROI

5f-7f

101

479

21.1%

+£55.28

+11.5%

1m-1m3f

139

644

21.6%

+£60.08

+9.3%

1m4f+

37

178

20.8%

-£38.22

-21.5%

 

The strike rates are very similar but the longer distances have not proved successful from a punting perspective. Perhaps his runners have started too short a price on average – that would be my hypothesis.

 

Let us look at the age of his runners now:

 

Age

Wins

Runs

Strike Rate

Profit

ROI

2yo

81

354

22.9%

+£40.14

+11.3%

3yo

157

783

20.1%

+£7.92

+1.0%

4yo

37

139

26.6%

+£46.00

+33.1%

5yo

2

21

9.5%

-£12.92

-61.5%

 

Abdulla does well with the 4yos he has kept in training, but the 2yo record is the most interesting for me. His 2yos have a good record in October and also for trainers BarryHills and John Gosden. Indeed Gosden has a strike rate of over 30% which is extremely impressive.

 

Whilst on the subject of trainers let us look at their overall performance:

 

Trainer

Wins

Runs

Strike Rate

Profit

ROI

H Cecil

69

266

25.9%

+£62.12

+23.4%

J Gosden

55

232

23.7%

+£41.51

+17.9%

Sir M Stoute

54

235

23.0%

-£13.91

-5.9%

B Hills

46

234

19.7%

+£38.92

+16.6%

R Charlton

32

163

19.6%

-£9.96

-6.1%

Mrs A Perrett

17

124

13.7%

-£13.14

-10.6%

P Eddery

4

38

10.5%

-£19.40

-51.1%

 

Henry Cecil tops the list in terms of strike rate and in terms of returns. Pat Eddery seems the trainer to avoid although in truth he is only just starting his training career and one would expect his performance to improve considerably over time.

 

Finally a look at the records of the jockeys who have ridden for Abdulla:

 

Jockey

Wins

Runs

Strike Rate

Profit

ROI

R Havlin

12

31

38.7%

+£33.83

+109.1%

R L Moore

33

114

28.9%

+£5.83

+5.1%

T Queally

14

54

25.9%

+£22.06

+40.9%

J Fortune

18

71

25.4%

+£29.56

+41.6%

T Durcan

21

85

24.7%

-£3.40

-4.0%

R Hughes

104

501

20.8%

+£8.12

+1.6%

S Drowne

12

64

18.8%

+£7.99

+12.5%

M Hills

10

67

14.9%

-£28.80

-43.0%

J Crowley

5

45

11.1%

-£6.50

-14.4%

 

Considering the number of rides, Richard Hughes has performed well to make a small profit. Meanwhile Queally, Havlin and Fortune have particularly good records. One jockey you may want to avoid however is MichaelHills – he has a moderate strike rate and very poor returns.

 

All in all, it seems that further research into owner stats and performance could prove profitable – I would imagine not many punters take any notice of the owners of the horses. I think this article may have demonstrated that it could give you an edge if you do take notice!

 








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